farrelly’s Dynamic Asset Allocation (NZ) - June 2024 Update

Portfolio Construction Forum  |  10 June 2024

What’s new this quarter?

Tipping Point Tables - Expected returns have fallen after the very strong rally in all markets since December 2023. Most markets are entering Fully Priced territory.

Editorial - This quarter’s Editorial outlines farrelly’s expectations for inflation in both the short term and the long term. In the short term (next two years): inflation numbers are improving; but services inflation is still above target in the US, Australia and NZ; and, central banks are unlikely to provide much in the way of interest rate cuts until weaker labour markets take the press...

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