1. The ASX200 is too concentrated - reduce weights!

    Simply observing the concentration inherent in the index and reducing Australian Equity weights is throwing the proverbial baby out with the bathwater. It’s nuts and you can clearly see it’s nuts.

    Tim Farrelly | 18-09-17 | More
  2. farrelly's Investment Strategy (NZ)

    Welcome to the farrelly's Dynamic Asset Allocation NZ subscriber-only area...

    11-09-17 | More
  3. farrelly's Investment Strategy (Australia)

    Welcome to the farrelly's Dynamic Asset Allocation subscriber-only area.

    11-09-17 | More
  4. farrelly's Dynamic Asset Allocation Handbook (Australian Edition)

    The farrelly's Dynamic Asset Allocation Handbook features editorial exploring investment strategy "hot topics", farrelly's long-term forecasts for asset classes, a detailed review of the long-term forecasts for an individual asset class (rotating across asset classes each quarter) and three asset allocation models to assist with implementation...

    11-09-17 | More
  5. farrelly's Dynamic Asset Allocation Handbook (NZ Edition)

    The quarterly Dynamic Asset Allocation is published electronically, and emailed to subscribers in early March, June, September, and December. It features farrelly's Editorial; long-term outlook for markets; Forecast in Focus; and three different approaches to Implementation...

    11-09-17 | More
  6. Beating the world’s best investors

    Where can practitioners take on the world’s best investors and win? Actually, in quite a lot of places.

    Tim Farrelly | 28-08-17 | More
  7. Exploiting anomalies is vital for higher long-term returns

    To outperform the market you have to invest in something different. Investment returns are best captured through the exploitation of anomalies – the truly different mispriced opportunities.

    Paul Moore | 24-08-17 | 0.50 CE | More
  8. There are better alternatives to time-based rebalancing

    Time-based rebalancing is inefficient. Research suggests that tolerance band rebalancing strategies minimise trading and boost portfolio returns. Such threshold approaches may be used in both the portfolio accumulation and decumulation phase, and act as a pre-commitment device for clients.

    Michael Kitces | 24-08-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  9. Retirement spending and biological age

    There is a growing body of evidence suggesting that chronological (C) age is dominated by biological (B) age as a better proxy for longevity risk. Practitioners must consider both ages when building portfolios and structuring retirement spending strategies.

    Moshe Milevsky, York University | 23-08-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  10. Backgrounder: Portfolio rebalancing strategies

    Researchers propose a range of improvements to traditional time-based rebalancing, including threshold and cash flow strategies, designed to increase effectiveness and efficiency.

    Will Jackson, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 21-08-17 | 2 comments | More
  11. Investors should hedge their overall financial risk

    People often consider risks in isolation, and overpay for protection as a result. Rather than hedging against specific risks, investors should think like a game theorist.

    Shachar Kariv, University of California, Berkeley | 21-08-17 | More
  12. Backgrounder: The rise of impact investing

    As some institutional investors build internal impact investing capabilities, the inclusion of impact investments in portfolios may be on the cusp of becoming mainstream.

    Will Jackson, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 21-08-17 | More
  13. 2011 Conference: CIF - Modern portfolio construction (Michael Kitces)

    Portfolio construction practitioners have traditionally split into two camps - passive indexers, or active investors aiming to either pick winning companies or fund managers who can identify such companies. In this Critical Issues Forum session at the 2011 Conference, US-based researcher Michael Kitces provided a new and robust framework to understand the opportunities for value creation in portfolios...

    Michael Kitces | 20-08-17 | More
  14. It all adds up... well, sometimes it doesn't

    Do you know the impacts of the risk characteristics of your multi-manager portfolio? Better portfolio construction occurs when you don't diversify the risk you are trying to capture. Beware the benchmark hugger - it might be you?

    Michael Furey, Delta Research & Advisory | 19-08-17 | More
  15. The value of investing in a diversified pool of fat left tailed strategies

    Investors often shy from investing in “non-traditional” sources of Risk Premia, but to maximise the probability of achieving positive excess returns, a well-diversified and risk-controlled mix of Risk Premium strategies is essential.

    Capital Fund Management | 18-08-17 | More
  16. Shifting global trade patterns bring new opportunities

    Shifts in economic and trade regimes and turning points in markets provide asset managers the opportunity to capitalise on short-term distortions in asset prices and to invest in companies that could be winners in the long term.

    Rob Lovelace & David Polak, Capital Group | 18-08-17 | More
  17. Using alternative investments to address pre- and post-retirement issues

    This paper explores the issues and challenges associated with longevity and sequencing risk, especially in the current market environment, and examines how alternative investments offer investors potential solutions for these risks.

    Walter Davis & Ashley O'Connor, Invesco | 18-08-17 | More
  18. E + S + G factors are fundamental to better portfolio outcomes

    Ensuring your investment process incorporates sustainability factors - climate change, global food shortages, water shortages, and poverty, as well as safety, management and governance scandals - adds up to better outcomes.

    Amanda McCluskey, Stewart Investors | 18-08-17 | More
  19. Asset managers need to build better factors

    Factor indices are a smart way to capture equity market beta. However, investors use factors in pursuit of broader aims.

    Gideon Smith, AXA IM Rosenberg Equities | 17-08-17 | More
  20. Research Review: Financial ruin and biological age

    Two recent research studies shed light on retirement income planning. The first proposes a two-step framework that avoids the pitfalls of shortfall probabilities. The second finds that people need to use both their biological age and chronological age to decide spending rates.

    Will Jackson, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 15-08-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  21. A sector that cannot be ignored

    Having grown strongly over the last 20 years, a new study shows infrastructure investment will continue over the next two decades. It is a secular trend with long-term opportunities.

    RARE Infrastructure | 11-08-17 | More
  22. Choosing discount rates for retirement planning strategies

    While the use of a discount rate to compare strategies or choices that are dispersed or occur over time is useful, the proper discount rate is the investor's expected rate of return, means that the "right" discount rate will vary from one person to the next.

    Michael Kitces | 08-08-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  23. 2011 Conference: DDF - A scenarios approach to asset allocation (Susan Gosling)

    This Due Diligence Forum Research Paper, presented at the 2011 PortfolioConstruction Forum Conference, proposes an asset allocation approach that makes more complete use of information available about the future, forcing consideration of different time frames, alternate outcomes, and tail risk...

    MLC | 01-08-17 | More
  24. Buying happiness and satisfaction with greater cash reserves

    The classic view of cash when investing is that it's something to minimise. But a recent study found that we're just not content without a healthy allocation to cash. In fact, pushing investors to put all their cash to work increases their financial stress.

    Michael Kitces | 29-06-17 | More
  25. Masterclass NZ 2017 - Resources

    Masterclass NZ is a post-graduate extension program focused on contemporary issues that are fundamental to building better quality portfolios. The one-day program is comprised of five research-based, active learning sessions:

    16-06-17 | More
  26. The upside of less downside

    When equity markets fall, the financial and emotional impacts can be lasting. By focusing on reducing downside, investors can have a smoother ride and still achieve the returns they seek.

    Roy Maslen & Hamish Fitzsimons, AB Global | 30-05-17 | More
  27. Three strategies to manage retirement income uncertainty

    The danger that sequence of return risk can devastate a retirement portfolio is both increasingly recognised and frequently misunderstood. Three research-driven strategies can help manage it.

    Michael Kitces | 22-05-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  28. Impact investing in the context of a diversified portfolio

    This paper presents evidence to suggest that an allocation to impact investments can contribute potential portfolio benefits from the risk-return profile and low correlation with other asset classes.

    Tim Macready, CIMA® & Simba Marekera, Brightlight Impact Advisory | 03-05-17 | 0.50 CE | More
  29. Issues in long-term investing - part 1

    Short-term thinking in finance is nothing new. The benefits of long-term investing extend beyond just being able to invest in illiquid assets. Patience can pay its own dividend.

    Keith Suter, Geoff Warren, Ian Patrick | 10-04-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  30. Research Review: Only in Scandinavia?

    Do professional investors do better when investing on their own behalf? What is the relationship between the remuneration of professional investors and performance? What role to gender and age play in the use of ETFs?

    Ron Bird, University of Technology Sydney | 10-04-17 | More
  31. A client's life is a mix of stocks & bonds

    It is time to properly account for risk characteristics of client’s most valuable asset - their human capital. This isn’t easy to implement and places practitioners in a difficult situation...

    Moshe Milevsky, York University | 24-03-17 | 1.00 CE | More
  32. Behavioral biases & hierarchy of retirement needs

    Research suggests we mentally account for income and assets with an intrinsic hierarchy of priorities - a "hierarchy of retirement needs". So retirement income strategies should be reframed to answer three questions.

    Michael Kitces | 23-03-17 | More
  33. Four fundamental portfolio construction decisions

    Markets Summit 2017 delivered 20+ high conviction ideas on how the winds of change are affecting the outlook for economies and asset classes - and delegates were asked to convert the insights into four fundamental portfolio construction decisions.

    Will Jackson, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 06-03-17 | More
  34. The wrong side of maybe fallacy

    Monte Carlo analysis is commonly used to evaluate retirement spending plans - but our cognitive and behavioural biases may interfere with proper interpretation of the results.

    Michael Kitces | 28-02-17 | More
  35. Low interest rates matter. So do imputation credits

    A recent, widely circulated article suggested the major Australian banks are overpriced. But including the effect of imputation and a view on interest rates makes a huge difference...

    Tim Farrelly | 27-02-17 | More
  36. Finology Summit 2017 - The winds of change - key takeouts

    Finology Summit 2017 focused on how "The winds of change" are affecting how investors think and behave with respect to money, and how we can better to relate with them. Here are our key takeouts.

    23-02-17 | More
  37. Markets Summit 2017 - The winds of change - key takeouts

    Markets Summit 2017 delivered 20+ high conviction ideas on how the winds of change are affecting the outlook for economies and asset classes - and the implications for portfolios. Here are our key takeouts.

    17-02-17 | More
  38. Focus investors on goals with a retirement spending policy

    A formal, written spending policy can help investors focus on what's really important - will they meet their goals?

    Tim Farrelly | 15-02-17 | 0.25 CE | More
  39. The winds have changed

    The tectonic plates of the political and economic landscape are rupturing. Brace yourselves for a wild and entertaining ride...

    Jonathan Pain, The Pain Report | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | 1 comment | More
  40. Winds have changed

    The tectonic plates of the political and economic landscape are rupturing. Brace yourselves for a wild and entertaining ride...

    Jonathan Pain, The Pain Report | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | More
  41. Now is the time to accumulate duration

    As 2017 began, there was (once again) an air of optimism that interest rates are about to return to normal. This optimism dismisses the significant structural headwinds that are prevalent.

    Brett Lewthwaite, Macquarie Investment Management | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | 3 comments | More
  42. There are 4 fundamental decisions to make now for portfolios

    When positioning a multi-asset, portfolio for the medium-term, there are four fundamental decisions we must make now. They are, in some cases, interdependent.

    Tim Farrelly | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | More
  43. The hunt for yield is over

    Money velocity is accelerating in the US and UK, as commercial banks rediscover their appetite for risk and the two economies continue to normalise. The shift has significant implications for asset allocators.

    Chris Watling, Longview Economics | 14-02-17 | 2 comments | More
  44. Don't confuse the winds of change with "hot air"

    The biggest portfolio risk in 2017 will be over confidence in assigning scenario probabilities. Don't confuse the winds of change with "hot air" when it comes to portfolio construction.

    Robert Mead, PIMCO | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | More
  45. Panel: The winds of change

    Partners Group's Charles Dallara, Lazard's Ron Temple, and Magellan's Hamish Douglass debate the winds of change sweeping through the global economy and equity markets.

    Panel | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | More
  46. Don't confuse winds of change with "hot air"

    The biggest portfolio risk in 2017 will be over confidence in assigning scenario probabilities. Don't confuse the winds of change with "hot air" when it comes to portfolio construction.

    Robert Mead, PIMCO | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | More
  47. Trump the game changer - the only certainty now is uncertainty

    2017 will present many risks and opportunities, as the winds of change sweep through the global economy and markets. Geopolitics will dominate. The only certainty for 2017 is uncertainty.

    Stephen Halmarick, Colonial First State Global Asset Management | 14-02-17 | 0.25 CE | 3 comments | More
  48. Backgrounder: 5 Megatrends driving portfolio construction

    In 2002, we embarked on a quest to identify the secular forces which would substantially influence markets over the coming decade. We proposed five megatrends - which still drive portfolio construction today.

    Will Jackson, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 13-02-17 | More
  49. Research Roundtable International 2016 - key takeouts

    Put 10 senior Australian fund analysts on an eight-day CE program to the west coast of the USA? Inevitably, the group debated their views on many issues.

    Will Jackson, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 02-02-17 | 2 comments | More
  50. A two-dimensional risk tolerance assessment process

    Beware using risk tolerance assessment tools that blend risk tolerance and risk capacity into a single result. The two need to be measured separately.

    Michael Kitces | 30-01-17 | 2 comments | More
  51. Does political analysis matter when investing?

    Should we just keep our heads down and treat political events as nothing more than noise? 2017 is going to be a year when politics does matter. In fact, it always has.

    Jonathan Pain, The Pain Report | 28-01-17 | More
  52. Finding the optimal portfolio rebalancing frequency

    How often should a portfolio be rebalanced? Rather than the conventional wisdom of rebalancing at fixed time intervals, a superior methodology is tolerance band rebalancing.

    Michael Kitces | 02-01-17 | 0.50 CE | 5 comments | More
  53. The failure to understand rebalancing

    We've been drilled that rebalancing in portfolios results in improved returns and/or reduced risk. But the benefits of rebalancing are far smaller than we’ve been led to believe.

    Michael Edesess | 02-01-17 | 4 comments | More
  54. Re-balancing usually reduces returns

    While rebalancing may be helpful as a risk management strategy, it may actually reduce long-term returns. But that isn't a reason to avoid it.

    Michael Kitces | 02-01-17 | 0.25 CE | 1 comment | More