961 results found

Markets continue pricing artificial intelligence as a productivity revolution. Increasingly, it is also becoming a capital cycle, influencing how capital is allocated throughout the global economy.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.50 CE

Markets continue to behave as though AI can absorb almost any macroeconomic shock, largely pricing AI as an abundance narrative. Meanwhile, the underlying system is increasingly signalling scarcity.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

Markets continue to behave as though AI can overpower the macro cycle. But underneath that confidence, a different system is emerging.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

The AI boom, energy insecurity, strategic infrastructure, liquidity management and private market implementation are all becoming part of the same portfolio construction conversation.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

When considering the ethics of our actions, we often rely on two approaches - considering the outcomes and consequences, and whether the action accords with rules and norms. The effectiveness of a third approach is the focus of this research paper.

Rob Hamshar | 1.50 CE

Markets can remain stable at the index level even as risk becomes more uneven, more concentrated, and more difficult to hedge. This week's signals suggest that is now the dominant dynamic.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

Markets are currently pricing stability. But the underlying system remains constrained and market structure is becoming more fragile. The gap between pricing and reality is where risk tends to emerge.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

Behavioural analysis enables a deeper insight into fund performance and the identification of highly skilled managers capable of generating consistent investment alpha.

Robert Huebscher | 0.75 CE

A market can absorb volatility for a long time. It can absorb headlines, short-term oil spikes, and contradictory policy signals. What is harder to absorb is a shift from price disruption to actual constraint.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

AI has emerged as one of the most transformative technologies of the 21st century, offering remarkable capabilities in data processing, pattern recognition, and automation. This paper provides a useful discussion of the use of AI by investment funds.

Ron Bird | 1.00 CE

The shift this week is subtle, but important. Markets are beginning to transition from a world where policy drives outcomes, to a world where physical constraints and geopolitical realities drive outcomes. The distinction matters.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

Historically a feature of the medical and legal professions, oaths have become increasingly popular in promoting ethical practice in other occupations. The effectiveness in the financial advice context is the focus of this research paper.

Rob Hamshar | 1.50 CE

The disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has forced markets to confront how dependent the global economy remains on physical infrastructure - shipping lanes, energy flows, and industrial supply chains. Yet equity indices have remained relatively resilient, suggesting investors still assume the disruption will prove temporary.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

Markets spent the week attempting to price a geopolitical shock whose macro consequences remain highly uncertain. The challenge is not predicting how the conflict evolves. It is recognising how shocks like this propagate through portfolios.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

Markets are not panicking. They are re-learning what uncertainty costs. The key signal is not that “something happened". It is that diversification is becoming more conditional. Those constructing portfolios need to be explicit about what they own, why they own it, and what they expect it to do when escalation risk becomes live.

Nick Schoenmaker | 0.25 CE

ASIC's report on regulatory developments and issues affecting financial advice covers all areas of financial advice regulation relevant to Australian financial services (AFS) licensees.

2025 was likely the beginning of the end of US exceptionalism in markets. It's a whole new world (again)! – but many portfolios are positioned for the past based on an incomplete assessment of risk and reward.

Ronald Temple | 0.50 CE

For decades, investors relied on a stable, predictable world. Today, that world is being mugged by reality. Portfolios must focus on places where the rule of law still matters and identify the strategic bottlenecks that now pick the winners and losers.

Oliver Hartwich | 0.50 CE

This session explored two perspectives on the drivers of and outlook for Australian and global fixed income - The RBA's lower speed limit means lower interest rates, not higher; and, Unconscious and concentrated, it's no time to be passive.

As the RBA hikes rates to curb inflation due to a lower speed limit, should investors ultimately be expecting lower or higher bond yields?

Adam Bowe | 0.25 CE