The meltdown of Basis Capital has highlighted the need for much greater clarity of communication from research houses – particularly when it comes to describing product risk. With the benefit of hindsight, it is fun to look back and see what the research houses were saying about the risk of the Basis Capital Yield fund before the event. We see nothing on the two pieces of information that really matter...
Many planners still use long term historical returns to estimate future market returns on the basis that, if the historical period is long enough, everything smoothes out. This is pure bunk. In order to demonstrate this as conclusively as possible, we illustrate the impact of using 20 year historical returns as forecasts for the subsequent decade across six major equity markets over the past 107 years...
In the next few weeks, the publishing industry will have given us two books that, paired together, blow the doors off of conventional market theory. Both acknowledge that if you want to study and understand the markets, instead of examining the movements of stock prices, you have to shift your attention to the people who are actually making the trades...
A large number of high conviction or "concentrated" equity funds have been released in recent years, all promising higher returns than traditional funds by focusing on the strongest stock selection ideas of a manager. This paper examines the evolution of high conviction funds, looking at why they have been developed, their risk/return characteristics and the broader implications for portfolio management...
Short of time? For each Journal issue, we highlight papers we feel you shouldn't miss - this is one. It investigates whether resources is a bubble ready to burst or whether they still represent an attractive investment proposition, and how best to incorporate resources into a portfolio...
This paper discusses balancing liquidity, income, valuation, risk and diversification objectives in building property portfolios. It examines the key questions currently confronting Australian investors – How should investors gain exposure to offshore assets? Which markets provide appropriate income levels? How can direct property be included in a portfolio without sacrificing liquidity? What are the current valuation conditions in markets? – and demonstrates the characteristics of an optimal property portfolio.
Hybrids have delivered uncorrelated high returns combined with low volatility over the past five years. This paper explores why, despite some changes in the return equation, their reduced risk and still healthy returns make hybrids one of the most compelling income sub-sectors....
In a small, concentrated market like Australian equities, fund capacity is an important consideration for investors. This paper discusses why the most important factor in determining capacity is an Australian equity manager's style and the best representation of style is actual performance and trading history...
Short of time? This is one Journal paper you shouldn't miss. It examines why and how India should be a key component of investors’ exposure to emerging markets, arguing that investors should not limit themselves to just one leg of the BRIC/emerging markets story...
A market-weighted approach has been the traditional way of constructing international equity portfolios – often because this is the type of benchmark index against which fund managers are measured. But is this the best approach? Building market cap-weighted portfolios is not the mantra of all active, large cap equity managers. This paper examines an alternative construct for an international equities portfolio that encapsulates potentially greater investment returns and a better way of assessing portfolio performance.
In theory, funds management is a highly scaleable business where profit growth results from increased funds under management (FUM) while product quality (investment returns) remains unaffected – alpha creation is purely a function of portfolio construction through time and the size of the portfolio is irrelevant. However, there is reason to believe the product quality of a funds management business is not independent of FUM. The difference between the theoretical world and the real world relates to transaction costs. This paper describes transaction costs, and considers factors likely to influence the level of these costs, before turning to the impact of size and investment style on excess returns.
Global economic growth in Asia has produced unprecedented demand for commodities – and opportunity for investors. This paper examines the benefits of investing in commodities and discusses how an active approach to commodity investing may mitigate downside risk, and create alpha opportunities that are unavailable to passive commodity index investors.
Chinese authorities have embarked on Gugai, the Mandarin word for share reform. This paper explains how the Chinese authorities are addressing inefficiencies in the country's share markets and the much-criticised banking system, as well as seeking relieve some of the social tensions and environmental pollution arising out of China's fast economic growth.
The search for global alpha should include developing economies on several levels. Recently, the role of emerging markets in the global food chain for the manufacturing and distribution of products and services has significantly increased. Investors monitoring this shift can find valuable information that could potentially drive stock prices of companies in different parts of the chain. This information may not be visible when viewed discretely from an individual country or even continent standpoint and provides global investors with a distinct advantage.
This paper examines traditional approaches to buying international equities, highlighting some of the problems with capitalisation-weighted benchmarks, and suggesting that replicating a global index may no longer be the optimal solution for those investors with longer-term investment horizons. It looks at some of the new strategies available to capture beta and illustrates how diversification can be used to manage risk for investors in a less constrained portfolio.
Traditionally, investors have gained exposure to listed property via the Australian listed property trust market. However, the changing Australian property investment environment, combined with greater investment in global property assets, has resulted in the emergence of global property securities as a credible investment choice. Where and how does global listed property fit in a diversified portfolio?
Over each of the past five years, the returns on a diversified international bond portfolio fully hedged back into Australian dollars have well exceeded the return realised on a typical Australian bond portfolio. As a result, many fixed interest clients are looking to increase allocations to international bonds. This paper examines some of the reasons why international bond portfolios have outperformed their Australian counterparts and asks whether this is likely to continue.
