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 Friday 13 December 2013

The independent professional development service for investment portfolio construction practitioners

G'day

To coin a phrase, it's deja vu all over again. Talk of bubbles hasn't been this strong since the GFC - but as history shows, talk doesn't stop bubbles forming, growing or bursting. The important thing is to work out what bubble talk to ignore, as our latest new monthly columnist, Dominic McCormick, writes. Nouriel Roubini must surely make the grade of who to listen to - and he's warning that many countries are in a slow-mo replay of the pre-GFC housing train wreck. On a related note, Pippa Malmgren explains why investors need to be thinking about the rising US v China superpower battle (and why the US will win - for the time being). On a positive note, Aberdeen's Bruce Stout argues that poor market

sentiment about the developing world is a terrific buying opportunity and in his end of year roundup, Jonathan Pain explains his big call for 2014.
All the best for some great weekend learning! - Graham
P.S. Register now for Markets Summit 2014. The Great Escape
- What will the markets be like in the QE run out?  Overview & registration

The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell - Sir John Templeton

Perspectives - latest

An extraordinary year
It's been an extraordinary year. My biggest call for 2014 is that China's stockmarket could be the best performing.
Jonathan Pain, The Pain Report
Opinion

Looking for bubbles
There has been much talk about bubbles in recent months. But to work out whether an asset class is in a bubble, you first need to identify the talk you should ignore.
Dominic McCormick, Select Investment Partners
Opinion

US v China superpower battle is heating up
The export of inflation by the US can do far more damage to China's effort to become a self-sufficient superpower than almost anything else the US could have thought of.
Hon. Dr Pippa Malmgren, Principalis Asset Management
Opinion

Back to housing bubbles
Five years on from the GFC, we are witnessing in many countries a slow-motion replay of that housing-market train wreck.
Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Global Economics | 
Opinion

Fortune favours the well informed
A year ago, the world was salivating at the prospect of current account deficits in the developing world. Now, it's terrified. It's a terrific investment opportunity.
Bruce Stout, Aberdeen Asset Management
Opinion

Perspectives - recently

It's time to look to alternatives
For the past five years, you didn't need to be interested in alternative assets. But it's now time to start looking into alternatives to equities and bonds.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly's
Opinion

The logical ability to outperform the market
Efficient market theory claims you can't beat the market. Seductive as it is, this claim is incorrect, as extensive research makes clear.
Dr Woody Brock, SED | 
Opinion

Simple smart beta
Continuing our smart beta series, we dig into the simplest approach - and whether it's just repackaging old investment ideas in higher fee structures?
Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 
Research

What's a fair return?
What's a very good long-term return from equity markets? What is impossible? What is fair? A good example is Sigma Pharmaceuticals.
Simon Mawhinney, Allan Gray | 
Opinion

The global agriculture equity opportunity
Agricultural equities is the third leg of global natural resources, joining energy and mining as an important natural resource investment sector.
David Whitten, 90 West Asset ManagementOpinion

Calendar of live programs

Markets Summit 2014 - The Great Escape
What will markets be like in the great QE run out?  Established in 2009, Markets Summit is THE investment markets scene setter of the year. The one-day program features 20+ local and international economists, asset allocation strategists and market specialists. Strictly limited to 510 delegates, Markets Summit will help you understand the key drivers and outlook for investment markets, and the implications for portfolio construction.
18 FEBRUARY 2014 | SYDNEY | 9+ CPD | A$495+GST EARLY BIRD |
Register now

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