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PortfolioConstruction Forum

 

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 Friday 20 June 2014

The independent professional development service for investment portfolio construction practitioners

G'day

This week's Fodder has a very practical tone. Tim Farrelly explains "three really good reasons" why you should still buy fixed interest even if bond rates are going up, showing the difference in outcome of buying TDs at 4.6% available now vs deferring for two years to take advantage of (hopefully) higher rates. Michael Kitces debunks the myth that saving 10% of income is a good retirement planning strategy - offering instead a strategy of saving 50% of every pay rise, resulting in far higher end balances and far earlier retirement. GaveKal's Charles Gave explains the investment implications of "Sunnis on the march", as he describes it. And Oliver Hartwich takes a pragmatic look at capitalism in the wake of the GFC (recorded live at the recent Symposium NZ 2014 program). Finally, Zenith

Investment Partners highlights an "undiscovered fund" which provides a highly active international bond exposure designed to maximise total returns regardless of markets.
All the best for a great weekend's learning - Graham
P.S.
Woody Brock's "4 things that matter" video and paper from last week's Fodder drew a lot of Member interest. If you haven't already, take a few minutes to watch/read it.

LATEST...

Rates are going up - so don't buy fixed interest?
Everyone knows bond rates are going up - so why would you buy fixed interest? Actually, there are three really good reasons.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly's
Opinion

Sunnis on the march
The Islamist surge through central Iraq has the potential to upset the plans of investors who've convinced themselves that volatility is in the past.
Charles Gave, GaveKal
Opinion

Don't save 10% of income (spend just 50% of every raise)
The staple of retirement planning - save a percentage of income - makes it surprisingly difficult to ever reach retirement. The alternative is much easier and more successful.
Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
Opinion

Capitalism - bruised but still champion
In the wake of the GFC, the public's belief in the free market has taken a battering. But for all its flaws, capitalism remains the best way of creating prosperity.
Oliver Hartwich, The New Zealand Initiative
Resources

Undiscovered Fund: Highly active international bond fund
A global fixed interest capability designed to maximise total returns regardless of market conditions, that may be suitable as a specialist or satellite allocation within a portfolio.
Zenith Investment Partners
Research

Other good reads
5 brain flaws that make you a lousy investor - a quick, very readable overview of the five most common behavioural finance explanations of why the way our brains work can be detrimental to making wise investment decisions. A good one to share with clients!

RECENTLY...

Four things that matter in 2014 and beyond
Here are some brief thoughts on four issues that matter a lot, in our view. Two have been poorly discussed in the financial press, and the other two have been ignored completely.
Dr Woody Brock, SED
Opinion

Dare to be great – the challenge of being different
Investing differently gives no certainty of great results (increasing the odds of being wrong as well as right). But it is necessary for great performance.
Dominic McCormick, Select Asset Management
Opinion

An Uber bubble awaits
Possibly, last week's most important financial event was not US payroll data, the ECB, or the rapprochement with Putin. It was the pricing of Uber, at 60 times rumoured revenues.
Anatole Kaletsky, GaveKal
Opinion

The 4% non-solution
Moving to a twenty-first-century currency system would make it far simpler to move to a twenty-first-century central-banking regime as well.
Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard University
Opinion

Is regulation good or bad for investment markets?
Recorded at the recent Symposium 2014, this session examined the truth as to whether regulation makes markets more efficient or causes markets to produce lower returns.
Prof Robert MacCulloch, University of Auckland
Resources

Other good reads
Networks and hierarchies - Niall Ferguson contends that for all the world’s states - democratic and undemocratic alike - the new informational, commercial, and social networks of the internet age pose a profound challenge, the scale of which is only gradually becoming apparent.

PLUS...

Mark Your Diary: PortfolioConstruction Forum Conference (19-21 Aug)
Since 2002, PortfolioConstruction Forum Conference has gained a reputation as THE investment conference of the year. Presented in Sydney each August, it is our flagship program - a jam-packed, marathon three-day, 25-hour program featuring 40 intensive, objective, interactive sessions and more than 50 carefully selected local and international portfolio construction experts. It is a companion program to the annual Markets Summit held in Sydney each February.
Preview the theme "Reconnecting the three Rs - Risk & Return (& Relating)"

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