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PortfolioConstruction Forum

 

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 Friday 27 June 2014

The independent professional development service for investment portfolio construction practitioners

G'day This week's Fodder is chock full of the latest food for thought from some of our most popular contributors. Jack Gray asks whether behavioural finance has made us better investors. Jonathan Pain, who worked in the Middle East for many years, gives his insider view on the situation in Iraq and the implication for portfolios. In the vein of "if we don't learn from history, we're doomed to repeat it", Anatole Kaletsky (the Kal in GaveKal) discusses the important current day parallels with the event that sparked WW1 exactly 100 years ago tomorrow. And, in advance of officials from the world's two most powerful countries gathering in Beijing for their annual strategic talks, Yale University's Stephen Roach recaps the history of US/Chinese strategic and economic relations, explaining what needs fixing and

how. Finally, Angela Ashton reviews a paper on hedge fund returns, concluding that "even a modicum of ability in choosing hedge fund managers has the potential of adding tremendous value to a portfolio."
All the best for some great weekend learning - Graham
P.S. Registration for Conference 2014 (19-21 August) will open on Monday
.

LATEST...

The good guys and the bad guys in the cradle of civilisation
What we are witnessing in Iraq is a war within Islam. Will it mutate into a broader regional war thereby threatening oil supplies?
Jonathan Pain, The Pain Report
Opinion

Has behavioural finance made us better (investors)?
Are the human and organisational barriers to being better investors insurmountable, or can we learn and improve our decision-making?
Prof Jack Gray, UTS
Resources

The lesson of Sarajevo
The assassination of Archduke Ferdinand in Sarajevo 100 yrs ago tomorrow lit the fuse to WW1. There are many points of modern relevance in the catastrophe.
Anatole Kaletsky, GaveKal
Opinion

Rethinking the Sino-American relationship
The upcoming US/China 6th Strategic & Economic Dialogue is an opportunity for serious reconsideration of the relationship between the world's two most powerful countries.
Stephen Roach, Yale University
Opinion

Show me the alpha
This paper examines the oft-considered subject of hedge fund returns, finding far greater dispersion than for traditional fund managers.
Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
Research

RECENTLY...

Rates are going up - so don't buy fixed interest?
Everyone knows bond rates are going up - so why would you buy fixed interest? Actually, there are three really good reasons.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly's
Opinion

Sunnis on the march
The Islamist surge through central Iraq has the potential to upset the plans of investors who've convinced themselves that volatility is in the past.
Charles Gave, GaveKal
Opinion

Don't save 10% of income (spend just 50% of every raise)
The staple of retirement planning - save a percentage of income - makes it surprisingly difficult to ever reach retirement. The alternative is much easier and more successful.
Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
Opinion

Capitalism - bruised but still champion
In the wake of the GFC, the public's belief in the free market has taken a battering. But for all its flaws, capitalism remains the best way of creating prosperity.
Oliver Hartwich, The New Zealand Initiative
Resources

Undiscovered Fund: Highly active international bond fund
A global fixed interest capability designed to maximise total returns regardless of market conditions, that may be suitable as a specialist or satellite allocation within a portfolio.
Zenith Investment Partners
Research

Other good reads
5 brain flaws that make you a lousy investor - a quick, very readable overview of the five most common behavioural finance explanations of why the way our brains work can be detrimental to making wise investment decisions. A good one to share with clients!

PLUS...

Mark Your Diary: PortfolioConstruction Forum Conference (19-21 Aug)
Since 2002, PortfolioConstruction Forum Conference has gained a reputation as THE investment conference of the year. Presented in Sydney each August, it is our flagship program - a jam-packed, marathon three-day, 25-hour program featuring 40 intensive, objective, interactive sessions and more than 50 carefully selected local and international portfolio construction experts. It is a companion program to the annual Markets Summit held in Sydney each February.
Preview the theme "Reconnecting the three Rs - Risk & Return (& Relating)"

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