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			Friday 15 April 
			2016
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			Specialist, independent 
			investment continuing education & certification for portfolio 
			construction practitioners |  
		  	
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			 GrahamRich
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							NIRP - is it the death knell for retirement?Fodder kicks off with 
							Tim Farrelly sharing the investment lessons he's 
							learned from Japan that he now applies to 
							portfolios. Dr Woody Brock and 
							economist John Mauldin then each focus on the 
							"catastrophe" (Woody's words) of negative interest 
							rates for portfolios and our retirement 
							expectations. John predicts it's the end of 
							retirement as we know it!
							But money isn't everything in retirement, as Dr Jo Earl 
							shows with her research on how a person's resources 
							impact how well they adjust to retirement (financial 
							resources, yes, but also five other types). Test 
							yourself, at least, but I'd say all your clients, 
							too. Lastly, on resources of the other type, Dr 
							Joanne Warner explains which commodities have the 
							best fundamentals for recovery, 
							in her top 10 rated Markets Summit presentation.
 All 
							
							the best for a great weekend's continuing education - 
							Graham
 P.S. 
							
							The Certified Investment Management Analyst (CIMA®) 
							2016 program is filling fast. CIMA offers 
							you an unrivalled opportunity 
							to formally equip yourself with the knowledge and 
							skills to build better quality investment portfolios 
							– and be recognised for it.
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							LATEST... |  
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							Investment lessons from JapanOften in markets, you do get the feeling that 
							somehow we've been here before. But things are never 
							quite the same. Looking at some examples from the 
							past, particularly Japan, we can see what can we 
							learn and apply to our investment decisions.
 Tim Farrelly, farrelly's
							
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							Opinion
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							News that should shock nobodyI awoke to 
							read three pieces in the papers. These items 
							contained news that would have surprised nobody, had 
							global economic and market commentators been doing 
							their job of properly interpreting the news.
 Dr Woody Brock, SED
							
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							Opinion
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							ZIRP & NIRP - killing retirement as we know itRetirees and their pensions are being sacrificed for 
							what now passes as "the greater good." ZIRP has 
							created a massive problem for retirement savers and 
							pension fund managers. NIRP will make their problem 
							worse.
 John Mauldin, Mauldin Economics
							
							
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							Opinion
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							How to identify 
							retirement resources that matterIt's a sad fact that not everyone adjusts well to 
							retirement. It's estimated that about one third of 
							retirees have problems adapting after leaving full 
							time work. So why do some people fail to adapt? A 
							Dynamic Resource Model provides a potential 
							solution.
 Dr Joanne Earl, Flinders University
							
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							1.00 CE  
							
							
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							Resources
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							The resources cycle is getting closer to the bottomIn a 
							cyclical sector like commodity, deja-vu abounds for 
							those with a long memory. As the outlook improves, 
							equities usually rally before commodity prices, 
							responding to improved demand forecasts.
 Dr Joanne Warner, Colonial First State Gl Asset Mgmt
							
							
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							2 comments | 
							
							
							
							Resources
 * Rated 
							in the top 10 presentations by Markets Summit 2016 
							delegates
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							Member commentsAnything but a new paradigm
 There have been a lot of positive things that have 
							happened in Japan over the past four years...
 Matthew Sherwood, 
							Perpetual Australia 
							
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							There's nowhere to run, nowhere to hide... but 
							plenty of risksThe longer the time frame, the higher the potential 
							return. This is a because a longer time frame allows 
							more time to recover from negative returns, which 
							implies it is possible to take more risk...
 Natalie Comino, 
							NAB Asset Management 
							
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							A global (quant) perspective on the Australian 
							equities marketAn interesting and informative read...
 Michael Beuvink, Vision Financial Management 
							
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							Is that portfolio really diversified?Being properly diversified means always 
							having to say you're sorry as some investment's not moving in the same direction as the rest.
 Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
							
							
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							Research
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							What makes a useful 
							statistic?The worlds of business, investing, and sports are 
							awash in numbers, yet we rarely pause to consider 
							what makes a statistic 
							
							suitable.
 Michael Mauboussin, Credit Suisse
							
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							Research
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							An ECB dead endYou may 
							have concluded by now that the euro crisis is over. 
							Two figures show we're still right in 
							the middle of the euro crisis. And it has become 
							permanent.
 Oliver Hartwich, The New Zealand Initiative
							
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							Opinion
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							Unconventional unconventional monetary policyUnconventional monetary policies have themselves 
							become conventional. Monetary policymakers will have 
							to continue their fight with a new set of 
							"unconventional unconventional" policies.
 Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Global Economics
							
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							Opinion
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							Debt cycles don't repeat themselves - but this one 
							rhymesA 50-year 
							era of inflation is ending and we are left no 
							inflation, little growth and too much debt. China's 
							slowdown and the current oil glut are early signs 
							that this debt bubble may end badly.
 Dr Robert Gay, Fenwick Advisers
							
							
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							1 comment | 
							
							
							
							Resources
 * Rated 
							in the top 10 presentations by Markets Summit 2016 
							delegates
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							Member commentsProlonged low returns
 I didn't mean to imply that the solution 
							was to be 100% invested in volatile assets. The 
							solution lies in reducing the chance that the first 
							ten years will be poor rather than by reducing 
							volatility...
 Tim Farrelly, 
							farrelly's Investment Strategy 
							
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							Response to StuartGood question. If you look at western 
							debt levels, across most sectors of most economies, 
							debt has been flat...
 Chris Watling, 
							Longview Economics 
							
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							Realistic long-term returnsMark, with all due respect, I'm not certain how you 
							can characterise returns of 0.4%pa and 15.6%pa 
							"unrealistic" over 10-year time periods, when in 
							fact those returns are almost directly in line with 
							recent real-world experience...
 Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group 
							
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							The resources cycle is getting closer to the bottomIn the 
							long term, oil markets are no different from any 
							other commodity market.
 Amy Teh, 
							Colonial First State 
							
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							Demographic shifts are polarising investment 
							opportunitiesDemographic trends are a 
							"known" that will play 
							out over the very long term. Nigeria will become 3rd 
							most populous country by 2045...
 Aneta Wynimko, Fidelity International 
							
							| Comment
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			 GrahamRich
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