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Our regular
Forum Fodder NZ email alerts Members to what's new on this site and
with our live professional development progams.
A sample of the Forum Fodder NZ email is below.
Become a Member (with our
compliments) to receive Forum Fodder and access our multi-media learning
centre, PortfolioConstruction.com.au (this site) featuring:
- Resources Kits - videos and podcasts of the sessions and accompanying
papers from our live programs;
- Perspectives library - exclusive interviews, research papers, white
papers, opinion papers and special interest; and,
subscription services from local and international investment
professionals and subject matter experts.
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Friday 29 April
2016 |
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Specialist, independent
investment continuing education & certification for portfolio
construction practitioners |
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Brexit or Breturn?
This week, Fodder leads with internationally renowned
economic and financial historian, Professor Niall
Ferguson, reflecting on the lessons history provides
for those supporting "Brexit". Niall is an
exceptional communicator both in writing and in
person. Seven years ago, I had the privilege of
leading a group of research analysts to a Harvard
Business School executive education course led by
Niall and have kept in touch - and, he's recently agreed
to present in person at our upcoming Symposium in
May on the topic "Secular Stagnation or Inflection
Point?".
It's a very rare opportunity to hear from one of the
world's foremost economic and geopolitical
commentators.
All
the best for a great weekend's continuing education -
Graham
P.S.
Hear Prof Ferguson present in person at
PortfolioConstruction Forum Symposium 2016 (17 May) |
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LATEST... |
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Brexit now and we will only have to Breturn
History's
lesson is that British isolationism is a trigger
for continental disintegration. A vote for Brexit
will mean Britain will only have to "Breturn" sooner or
later, to sort out the ensuing mess.
Niall Ferguson, Harvard University
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Opinion
* Hear Prof Ferguson at
PortfolioConstruction Forum Symposium 2016 (17 May
2016)
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The US election - sound the trumpets?
We expect the US election to start mattering to
markets at the end of August, once the two
candidates are chosen. Given the rhetoric on the
campaign trail and the possibility of an
anti-establishment President, policy uncertainty
will rise and the US equity risk premium with it.
Marko Papic, BCA Research
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Opinion
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Eight core ideas to
guide retirement income planning
Retirement income planning is a relatively new field
that differs from traditional wealth accumulation.
Eight key ideas serve as a manifesto for my approach
to retirement income planning.
Wade D. Pfau, The American College
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Opinion
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In defense of the Yuan
Notwithstanding an extended period of stability this
year, the Chinese Yuan remains fairly high on
investors' lists of global risk factors. Perceptions
of vulnerability remain and are worth addressing.
Dr Robert Gay, Fenwick Advisers
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Opinion
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Investment grade credit - income without destroying
capital
It's
possible to have your cake and eat it too. Global
investment grade credit has not been this attractive
in spread terms for the past six years, yet the
sector has returned over 7.0% p.a. to Australian
investors over the same time period.
Robert Mead, PIMCO
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1 comment |
Resources
* Rated
in the top 10 presentations by Markets Summit 2016
delegates
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Member comments
Ummm
Surely the Japanese experience tells us that there
can not just be winners / neutrals, but also losers.
David
Hyde, MC2 Wealth
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Down the rabbit hole
Terrific article Tim, well done. When you start
looking into the Japanese economy you really can go
down the proverbial rabbit hole...
James
Weir, Standard Wealth
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Lessons from Japan
Debt levels for each of the sectors -households,
business and government are all fascinating and
there are lessons in each...
Tim
Farrelly, farrelly's
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Get ready for a record-length US recovery
We see the recent trends in US labour force
participation rates and the employment-to-population
ratio as very positive indicators of the labour
market strength I discussed in February at the
Markets Summit.
Ronald Temple,
Lazard Asset Management
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China's overcapacity
Hope springs eternal that China will see the wisdom
of shutting down excess capacity but alas it is not
yet so...
Robert Gay, Fenwick Advisers
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Investment lessons from Japan
Often in markets, you do get the feeling that
somehow we've been here before. But things are never
quite the same. Looking at some examples from the
past, particularly Japan, we can see what can we
learn and apply to our investment decisions.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly's
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4 comments |
Opinion
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News that should shock nobody
I awoke to
read three pieces in the papers. These items
contained news that would have surprised nobody, had
global economic and market commentators been doing
their job of properly interpreting the news.
Dr Woody Brock, SED
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Opinion
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ZIRP & NIRP - killing retirement as we know it
Retirees and their pensions are being sacrificed for
what now passes as "the greater good." ZIRP has
created a massive problem for retirement savers and
pension fund managers. NIRP will make their problem
worse.
John Mauldin, Mauldin Economics
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Opinion
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How to identify
retirement resources that matter
It's a sad fact that not everyone adjusts well to
retirement. It's estimated that about one third of
retirees have problems adapting after leaving full
time work. So why do some people fail to adapt? A
Dynamic Resource Model provides a potential
solution.
Dr Joanne Earl, Flinders University
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1.00 CE
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Resources
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The resources cycle is getting closer to the bottom
In a
cyclical sector like commodity, deja-vu abounds for
those with a long memory. As the outlook improves,
equities usually rally before commodity prices,
responding to improved demand forecasts.
Dr Joanne Warner, Colonial First State Gl Asset Mgmt
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CE
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2 comments |
Resources
* Rated
in the top 10 presentations by Markets Summit 2016
delegates
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Member comments
Anything but a new paradigm
There have been a lot of positive things that have
happened in Japan over the past four years...
Matthew Sherwood,
Perpetual Australia
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There's nowhere to run, nowhere to hide... but
plenty of risks
The longer the time frame, the higher the potential
return. This is a because a longer time frame allows
more time to recover from negative returns, which
implies it is possible to take more risk...
Natalie Comino,
NAB Asset Management
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A global (quant) perspective on the Australian
equities market
An interesting and informative read...
Michael Beuvink, Vision Financial Management
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