STRATEGIES
CONFERENCE
2018 - PROGRAM & PREP
Investment portfolio
construction is, by definition, an exercise in long-term thinking. By
creating strategies that blend asset classes to achieve future returns,
practitioners seek to meet the distant future financial needs of
individuals.
Yet the process is
fraught with difficulty due to the inherently uncertain nature of
financial markets, powerful secular and structural developments, and
clients’ desires to be both certain of meeting their investment goals
while avoiding any sting on the downside during the journey. Given these
uncertainties and competing priorities, are future-proof portfolios
achievable?
Strategies
Conference 2018 will facilitate debate on a selection of contemporary
and emerging portfolio construction strategies, with particular emphasis
on the challenges of building future-proof portfolios.
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QUICKLINKS |
Overview
& registration
When, where, where to stay, who it's suited to | Registration
options, terms and conditions
Program & Prep -
Program at a glance, Keynote Faculty, Detailed program, and Prep
materials (pre-reading, pre-viewing)
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PROGRAM |
Portfolio
Construction Forum Strategies Conference is THE investment
strategies conference of the year. The jam-packed two-day
program is designed and curated by our specialist, experienced
and independent team, and features more than 40 leading
investment thinkers from around the world, contributing their
best ideas on contemporary and emerging portfolio
construction strategies, in the context of the theme
"Future-proof portfolios?
Program at a glance
Keynote Faculty
Detailed program and Prep
materials
PROGRAM AT A GLANCE
Wednesday 22
August 2018
7.15am-7.45am - arrive, check in, grab a coffee/tea
7.45am-8.10am - on the move to the Theatre
8.10am - take your seat in the theatre
8.15am - Critical Issues Forum 1 Future-proof portfolios - Graham Rich
8.45am - Critical Issues Forum 2 Past performance is no indicative of future
performance - Marc Seidner, CFA
9.20am - Critical Issues Forum 3 Why we get it wrong - culture not cmpanies dictate
trends - Tassos Stassopoulos
10.00am - morning break
10.30am - on the move to the Theatre
10.40am - Critical Issues Forum 4 Building future-proof portfolios requires
emotional agility - Susan David, PhD
11.50am - On the move
to Special Interests Forum 1
12.05pm - Special Interests Forum 1 Choice of four sessions - refer full program below
1.15pm - lunch break
1.50pm - On the move to the Theatre
2.00pm - Critical Issues Forum 5 Unconstrained investing is essential in an
uncertain world - Prashant Chandran, CFA
2.40pm - Critical Issues Forum 6 Foreign currency should be treated as a complex
asset class - Olivia Engel, CFA
3.15pm - afternoon break
3.40pm - On the move to the Theatre
3.50pm - Critical Issues Forum 7 Diversification is not a free lunch - Tim Farrelly
4.20pm - Critical Issues Forum 8 Key takeouts
4.50pm - Critical Issues Forum 9 The tech revolution will radically change how the
economy works - Chris Berg, PhD
5.30pm - Networking Reception
7.00pm - Day one ends
Thursday 23
August 2018
7.15am-7.45am - arrive, grab a coffee/tea
7.45am-7.50am - On the move to the Theatre
7.50am - take your seat in the theatre
8.00am - Critical Issues Forum 10 Designing portfolios for scenarios is critical to
future-proof portfolios - Graham Rich, Jeremy
Lawson, and Expert Panel
9.25am - morning break
9.55am - On the move to the Theatre
10.05am - Critical Issues Forum 11 'Future-proof' is too hard but we can better meet
client needs - Professor Ron Bird
10.40am - Critical Issues Forum 12 Data analytics offers little insight on complex
problems - Peter Bossaerts, PhD
11.20am - On the move
to Special Interests Forum 2
11.30am - Special Interests Forum 2 Choice of four sessions - refer full program below
12.40pm - lunch break
1.15pm - On the move to Special Interests Forum 3
1.25pm - Special Interests Forum 3 Choice of four sessions - refer full program below
2.35pm - afternoon break
3.00pm - On the move to the Theatre
3.10pm - Critical Issues Forum 13 China will be a high-tech global power within two
decades - Linda Jakobson
3.45pm - Critical Issues Forum 14 The new world war is a threat to future-proof
portfolios - David Sanger, followed by a panel
featuring David, Linda Jakobson and Tom Switzer
5.00pm - Networking Drinks
6.00pm - Strategies Conference 2018 ends
KEYNOTE FACULTY |
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Markets (Geopolitics)
David Sanger, National Security Correspondent, The New York Times, (Washington DC)
David has been on three teams that have won Pulitzer Prizes.
His newest book, “The Perfect Weapon” examines the emergence of cyberconflict and how it's changing the nature of global power.
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Markets | Finology
Tassos
Stassopoulos, Founder & CIO, Trinetra Investment Management
(London)
After a career with AllianceBernstein and Credit Suisse, Tassos
founded Trinetra in 2016. The firm uses ethnographic research to
generate insights into growth opportunities in emerging markets. |
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Finology
Susan David,
PhD, Harvard Medical School (Boston)
An award-winning psychologist on the faculty of Harvard Medical
School, Susan is the author of #1 Wall Street Journal best-selling book,
Emotional Agility, described by Forbes.com as "a powerful book on
embracing your core values, being more decisive, and committing to
meaningful change". |
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Markets | Strategies
(Debt - Global)
Marc Seidner,
CIO Non-Traditional Strategies, PIMCO (New York)
In addition to his role as CIO, Marc is a managing director and head
of portfolio management in PIMCO's New York office, and a generalist
portfolio manager and member of the Investment Committee. |
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Strategies (Equities
- Global)
Olivia Engel,
CFA, Active Quantitative Equities, State Street Global Advisors (Boston)
Olivia has global oversight of the broader AQE research agenda,
investment process, portfolio management, and product innovation.
Previously, she led the AQE team in Asia Pacific, and was responsible
for all benchmark unaware strategies globally for the team. |
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Philosophy |
Strategies
Peter Bossaerts,
PhD, Professor of Experimental Finance, University of Melbourne
(Melbourne)
Peter is one of the world’s leaders in experimental decision making
research in finance and economics. His work is widely regarded as having
transformed society's understanding of how humans perceive and take
risks. |
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Strategies (Debt -
Global)
Prashant Chandran,
CFA, Head of Derivatives, Western Asset Management (Pasadena)
In addition to his role as Head of Derivatives, Prashant is a Senior
Portfolio Manager, member of the Investment and Risk committees, and a
member of Western Asset Management's Investment Advisory Committee that
debates, shapes, and presents the firm’s global macro views. |
Plus...
- Tim Farrelly, Principal, farrelly's Investment Strategy (Sydney)
- Ron Bird, Professor, University of Technology Sydney (Sydney)
- Linda Jakobson, CEO, China Matters (Sydney)
- Chris Berg, Senior Research Fellow, RMIT Blockchain Innovation
Hub (Melbourne)
- Jeremy Lawson, Chief
Economist, Aberdeen Standard Investments (Edinburgh)
- Ashley Owen, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, Stanford
Brown (Sydney)
- Brigette Leckie, Partner & Chief Investment Officer,
Koda Capital (Sydney)
- Debbie Alliston, Head of Multi-Asset Portfolio
Management, AMP Capital (Sydney)
- Brett Gillespie, Head of Global Macro, Ellerston
Capital (Sydney)
- Kerr Neilson, Founder, Platinum Asset Management
(Sydney)
- Mark Burgess, Independent Chairman, Yarra Capital
Management (Melbourne)
- Tom Switzer, Executive Director, The Centre for
Independent Studies (Sydney)
... and another 22+
local and international investment thinkers....
WEDNESDAY 22 AUGUST 2018 |
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8.15am-8.45am: Critical
Issues Forum 1 |
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Strategies
Future-proof
portfolios?
Investment
portfolio construction is, by definition, an exercise in
long-term thinking. By creating strategies that blend asset
classes to achieve future returns, practitioners seek to meet
the distant future financial needs of individuals. Yet the
process is fraught with difficulty due to the inherently
uncertain nature of financial markets, powerful secular and
structural developments, and clients’ desires to be both certain
of meeting their investment goals while avoiding any sting on
the downside during the journey. Given these uncertainties and
competing priorities, are future-proof portfolios achievable?
-
Graham Rich, Managing Partner & Dean, Portfolio Construction
Forum (Sydney)
Prep!
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Future-proof portfolios
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Future-proof portfolios are entirely achievable |
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8.45am-9.20am: Critical
Issues Forum 2 |
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Markets | Strategies
Past
performance is not indicative of future performance
Any
time you read a fund prospectus, you come across the
familiar phrase: “Past performance is not indicative of
future performance”. It’s so common we almost ignore it,
but it goes to the heart of how we should view and
manage risk and return as we strive to future-proof
portfolios. And never more so than now. In an
environment of increasing volatility, decreasing
liquidity and greater idiosyncratic risk, investors
should prepare for a new era of potentially radical
change. Active management, robust fundamental research,
and incorporating diverse perspectives will help
investors successfully navigate the path forward?
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Marc Seidner, CFA, CIO Non-Traditional Strategies, PIMCO
(New York) |
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9.20am-10.00am: Critical
Issues Forum 3 |
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Markets |
Finology
Why we
get it wrong - culture not companies dictate trends
Society and consumer trends are changing at such
breath-taking speed that even global companies struggle
to keep up. Dominating brands are launched almost by
accident, and many companies have surprisingly limited
insight on how they can stay popular and relevant in the
age of global information and social media. To
understand which trend will dominate, investors need to
entirely rethink their processes, assumptions and
research approach, to focus on the cultures of consumers
in different markets. Only by thinking like new brands
themselves, can they identify and invest in the next
powerful emerging trend.
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Tassos Stassopoulos, Founder & CIO, Trinetra
Investment Management (London)
Prep!
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Future
shocked: DM legacy systems are no match for China's innovative
Fintech |
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10.00am-10.40am: Morning break |
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10.40am-11.50am: Critical
Issues Forum 4 |
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Finology
Building future-proof portfolios requires emotional
agility
The
future is, by definition, uncertain – as is the nature
of financial markets. This, along with the current
Australian financial services environment, powerful
secular and structural trends, and clients’ often
conflicting goals, combine to create a high degree of
ambiguity and complexity (often causing fear and stress)
for practitioners and advocates as they strive to build
quality investment portfolios. To cope and prosper in
such an environment, we need to be emotionally agile, in
order to align our values and actions and, in turn, help
investors achieve their distant future financial goals.
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Susan David, PhD, Harvard Medical School & Evidence
Based Psychology (Boston)
Prep!
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Emotional Agility |
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11.50am-12.05pm: On the move |
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12.05pm-1.15pm:
Special Interests Forum 1 |
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Room 1
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Philosophy | Strategies
(Equities - Global)
Integrate ESG considerations to help future proof
portfolios
ESG
and sustainable investing has gone from a niche
investment idea to becoming more and more mainstream
every day. It’s a structural shift and here to stay but
equally one that brings new challenges to investors and
those aiming to build quality investment portfolios for
them. It is vital to think about both the risk and
opportunities that sustainable investing provides and
define a framework that matches your investment beliefs.
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Jane Wadia, Global Head of Client Portfolio
Management and Product Strategy, AXA Investment Management
(London) |
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Markets | Strategies (Debt - Australian)
Australian private debt can help future proof portfolios
Private debt affords portfolios a number of attractive
structural protections through seniority, security and
covenants, which combine to mitigate the risk of the
investment and is particularly important given the stage
in the current credit cycle. Given the key defensive
attributes of Australian private debt, at this late
cycle phase of the market, it should be included in all
portfolios that are able to invest in illliquid assets..
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Bob Sahota, MD & Chief Investment Officer, Revolution
Asset Management (Sydney) |
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Room 2 |
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Strategies | Investing (Equities - Global)
In the AI age, active managers making smart human
decisions will win
AI-based investment solutions will change the landscape
much faster than expected. The adoption of machine
learning is unlikely to be smooth, but will put a spotlight
on how active managers make investment decisions. The
importance of making good human decisions will be
amplified, and future proofing this will require
managers to have the right individual and team behaviours to cope with the disruptive changes that AI
brings.
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William Low,
Head of Global Equity, Nikko Asset Management (Edinburgh) |
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Investing (Equities - Australian)
Owner managed companies are the backbone of a good
portfolio
Common criticisms of senior management is that CEOs of
listed companies rarely last long and while they are in
control they are too focused on short-term outcomes,
especially when they have an incentive to boost the
share prices of their companies in the near term. Such
allegations can’t be made as easily against family-owned
and family-managed businesses. Research shows that
owner-manager businesses reward their long-term
(non-family) investors because they instill a stability,
a culture, and a focus that is geared towards the long
term. Companies with owner-management profiles help
future-proof a portfolio by providing long-term
stability – a “backbone” to the portfolio. The issue for
investors is finding the right set of owner-managed
companies.
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Matt Williams,
Portfolio Manager, Airlie Funds Management (Sydney)
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Emma Goodsell, Deputy Portfolio Manager, Airlie Funds
Management (Sydney) |
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Room 3
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Strategies (Equities -
Global)
RoI is
everything – abstractions are distractions
Institutionally designed portfolios can be
puzzling. Examples include adherence to benchmarks,
over-diversification across managers, obsession with
sectoral exposures like infrastructure or real estate
and macro guessing-games. We are all forced to invest to
get a return on our savings, but as an industry we have
overcomplicated this and at times not delivered. The
best future proofing possible is to understand what your
holdings can pay you. Work from first principles – let
simple, a priori return potential be your guide.
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Andrew Clifford, CEO & Chief Investment Officer,
Platinum Asset Management (Sydney) |
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Markets | Investing
(Alternatives)
People underestimate the depth & length of “normal”
drawdowns
Due to inherent biases in investing, the Sharpe
ratios of investor portfolios are often not as high as
investors expect. In reality, a realistic Sharpe ratio
for any one strategy or manager is in the range of 0.3
to 0.5 as evidenced by equity and bond markets, for
example. But just how low can a random walk of a given
Sharpe ratio wander through the natural realisation of
risk? The depths and lengths of “normal” (i.e. expected
– or, more scientifically stated, statistically
insignificant) drawdowns are often underestimated by
investors. Armed with this information when seeking to
build future-proof portfolios, the level of poor
performance of a fund, strategy or manager can be put
into context and objective decisions can be taken on
whether or not to remain invested.
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Philip Seager, PhD, Head of Alternative Beta
Strategies, Capital Fund Management (Paris) |
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Room 4
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Strategies (Multi-Asset)
Asset managers must innovate to meet retiree drawdown
needs
An aging population, maturing superannuation
system and government policy are dramatically increasing
the need for effective solutions for the retiree
population. Investment managers have, historically,
focused on investment needs during accumulation, and
annuity costs have been driven to extremes by continued
low interest rates. The end result is a dearth of
compelling options for retirees. A range of solutions
can start to meet this challenge including: a
pre-retirement portfolio that aims to preserve annuity
purchasing power; a decumulation solution which
guarantees payments in retirement; and, a retirement
strategy which factors longevity and inflation into its
cash flow profile – demonstrating that asset managers
can create solutions which more closely meet retirees
needs.
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Alastair Baillie Strong, Solutions Designer, Fidelity
International (Hong Kong) |
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Strategies |
Investing (Alternatives)
Human +
machine in investing is better than either in isolation
Systematic investment managers are entirely
reliant on technology to access and process enormous
volumes of data through trading algorithms, and to trade
hundreds of markets globally. The scale, speed and
consistency achievable by these machines cannot be
replicated by humans. But randomness can make the data
lie. To future proof portfolios, you need human skill
and judgment to distinguish between the purely random
and real investment insights. This is the power of
combining machines and humans.
-
Nick Thomas-Peter, PhD, Senior Vice President, Winton
Group (London)
Prep!
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Decoding AI’s Role in Financial Services |
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1.15pm-2.00pm: Lunch break |
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2.00pm-2.40pm: Critical
Issues Forum 5 |
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Strategies (Debt - Global)
Unconstrained investing is essential in an uncertain
world
In a
world where risks are more varied and non-quantifiable,
unconstrained strategies can be supportive in both
maximising portfolio returns and reducing risk, allowing
greater bandwidth to deliver returns via a wider range
of drivers, regardless of market direction. That said,
in detaching from the anchor that is the index, it is
easy to loosen the grasp on risk. Therefore, in adopting
an unconstrained approach to help future-proof
portfolios, one must adhere to a clear philosophy and
framework for apportioning risk in unconstrained
portfolios.
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Prashant Chandran, CFA, Head of Derivatives, Western
Asset Management (Pasadena) |
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2.40pm-3.15pm: Critical
Issues Forum 6 |
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Strategies (Equities - Global)
Foreign
currency should be treated as a complex asset class
Global asset classes provide access to new and diverse
investment opportunities. However, investing overseas
introduces foreign currency exposure to a portfolio.
Rather than treating it as an afterthought, investors
should treat foreign currency as an asset class in its
own right, deserving of the same level of scrutiny.
Investors looking to future proof their portfolios
should consider both short- and long-term currency
risks, as well as where the best return opportunities
lie. Australian investors have a different perspective
on foreign currency to investors elsewhere in the world,
and this should be reflected in how local portfolios are
built.
-
Olivia Engel, CFA, Senor Managing Director & CIO
Active Quantitative Equities, State Street Global Advisors
(Boston)
Prep!
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Managing currency exposures |
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3.15pm-3.50pm: Afternoon break |
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3.50pm-4.20pm: Critical
Issues Forum 7 |
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Strategies (Multi-Asset)
Diversification is not a free lunch
Harry Markowitz called diversification "the only free
lunch in finance" and his elegant mathematical theory
won him a Nobel Prize and laid the foundations for
Modern Portfolio Theory. However, while diversification
can be a free lunch, it can’t be taken for granted. Not
all diversification is good and not all lowly correlated
assets are good diversifiers. For diversification to
help future-proof portfolios, we have to think deeply
about what are the essential inputs into the Markowitz
approach – not only correlations but also expected
returns and risks. The results of such thought will
probably be deeply unsatisfying for the mathematically
inclined. Instead, the answers when designing well
diversified portfolios will often lie with good rules of
thumb.
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Tim Farrelly, Principal, farrelly's Investment
Strategy (Sydney) |
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4.20pm-4.50pm: Critical
Issues Forum 8 |
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Strategies
Key
Takeouts
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Delegate Panel |
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4.50pm-5.30pm: Critical
Issues Forum 9 |
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Philosophy | Markets
The tech
revolution will radically change how the economy works
The
Australian (and global economy) is facing decades of
significant technological change that will reshape how
we work, where we work, and how we relate to each other
economically and politically. These changes are also
poised to seriously disrupt public policy and financial
markets - and are therefore a challenge to building
future-proof portfolios. What we need now is a
revitalisation of liberal economics and public policy to
adapt and adjust to an economy that will be more rapidly
changing than at any other time in human history.
-
Chris Berg, PhD, Senior Research Fellow, RMIT
University (Melbourne) |
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5.30pm-7.00pm:
Networking Reception |
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7.00pm: Day one ends |
THURSDAY 23 AUGUST 2018 |
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8.00am-9.25am: Critical
Issues Forum 10 |
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Markets | Strategies
Designing portfolios for scenarios is critical to
future-proof portfolios
A disciplined, scenarios-based approach to
determining your views on the outlook for markets and
then the asset allocation implications can help
future-proof portfolios. Determining investment strategy
by analysing issues from a number of viewpoints allows
you to arrive at plausible scenarios for how the future
may unfold. This hypothetical Investment Committee
meeting will consider the asset allocation implications
of three relevant, forward-looking economic and market
scenarios which have a reasonable probability of
occurring during the next two to three years: 1. lower
for longer/neutral; 2. US isolationism/bear; and 3.
Global reflation/bull. After our Expert Panel debates
the scenarios, the Investment Committee (delegates) will
determine the probabilities of the three scenarios. The
Expert Panel will then consider the portfolio
construction implications before the Investment
Committee votes on its asset allocation decisions.
Investment Committee
Chair -
Graham Rich, Dean, Portfolio Construction
Forum (Sydney)
Economist –
Jeremy Lawson, Chief Economist, Aberdeen Standard
Investments
Expert Panel
-
Ashley Owen, Chief Investment Officer, Stanford
Brown (Sydney)
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Brigette Leckie, Chief Investment Officer, Koda
Capital (Sydney)
- Debbie
Alliston, Head of
Multi-Asset Portfolio Management, AMP Capital (Sydney)
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Tim
Farrelly, Principal, farrelly's Investment
Strategy (Sydney)
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Brett Gillespie, Head of Global Macro, Ellerston
Capital (Sydney)
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Kerr Neilson, Co-Founder & Investment Analyst,
Platinum Asset Management (Sydney)
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Mark Burgess,
Non-executive chairman, Non-Executive Director (Melbourne)
Prep!
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Designing for scenarios is critical to future-proof
portfolios |
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9.25am-10.05am:
Morning break |
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10.05am-10.40am: Critical
Issues Forum 11 |
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Strategies | Investing
'Future-proof’ is too hard but we can better meet client
needs
Investors
like to have their cake and eat it – that is, they like
investment returns (the higher the better), but dislike
volatility (particularly negative returns) but they
don’t mind positive skewness (the characteristic that
causes people to buy lottery tickets even though the
expected impact on their wealth is negative). It is
possible to engineer investment returns that meet those
requirements, by using portfolio insurance to protect a
portfolio. The bottom line is that investors can have
their cake and eat it, by being better off in terms of
all the three characteristics that investors favour.
-
Ron Bird, Professor, University of Technology Sydney
(Sydney) |
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10.40am-11.20am: Critical
Issues Forum 12 |
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Philosophy |
Strategies
Data
analytics offers little insight on complex problems
We
often think of investments as playing roulette, with
“laws” that somehow can be discovered using statistics
or machine learning. Yet many investment problems we
face actually fall in a completely different category.
Firm valuation, determining what to look for when
predicting markets – even portfolio construction – are
not statistical problems, but complex decision problems
that are central to building future proof portfolios.
They require a very different, methodic approach. The
best investors are those who follow disciplined
approaches that resonate with the theory of computation
– and you can train yourself in one such approach using
a simple game.
-
Peter Bossaerts, PhD, Professor of Experimental
Finance, University of Melbourne (Melbourne)
Prep!
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Computational Complexity and Finance |
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11.20am-11.30am:
On the move |
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11.30am-12.40pm: Special
Interests Forum 2 |
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Room 1
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Strategies (Equities -
Global)
Investment risk has nothing to do with benchmarks
Investment risk is usually defined with regard to
deviation from arbitrary benchmarks. But this definition
is at best misleading and at worst, damaging to the
efficient allocation of long-term capital. Instead, to
future proof portfolios, investors looking to maximise
returns should regard risk simply as the risk of losing
money and in turn, best manage this risk by taking a
long-term time horizon. The Chinese Beverage Sector is a
case study that illustrates the importance of time
horizon and downside risk for investors hoping to meet
long-term return objectives. An analysis of supply
chains, water scarcity, obesity and climate change
clearly demonstrates the importance of managing these
risks as a way of generating long-term returns for
investments. In order to cement an absolute return
mindset and truly ‘future-proof’ a portfolio, an
investor cannot be fixated on short-termism - monthly
returns, annual performance fees, yearly manager bonuses
or tracking error relative to any benchmark. An investor
must view risk as the risk of losing money.
-
David Gait,
Joint Managing Partner, Stewart Investors (Sydney) |
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Strategies | (Equities - Global - Specialty)
Infrastructure is critical to future-proofing portfolios
Building long-term portfolios designed to meet
investors future needs and living standards requires
high allocations to assets that provide: resilient
corporate earnings during times of economic stress
(reducing drawdown risk); low disruption risk to future
business models; predictable growing dividends protected
from inflation and paid throughout a cycle; and,
diversification benefits to the portfolio.
Infrastructure as an asset class has met these criteria
during four very different recessionary periods,
reinforcing the need for allocations to the asset class,
especially when building goals-based portfolios.
-
Nick Langley, Co-Chief Executive & Co-Chief
Investment Officer , RARE Infrastructure (Sydney) |
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Room 2 |
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Strategies | Investing
(Equities - Global)
Investors need style neutral global equities exposure
We all know about the drivers of investment
returns, often referred to by ‘style’ or ‘factor’ – but
when to pick which ‘style’ remains one of the most
difficult disciplines of investing. As computing power
has increased, so too has our ability to identify more
of the underlying components of performance and better
understand the relationships between these factors.
Investors are rightfully benefiting from increased
scrutiny around ‘pactive’ portfolios which charge high
fees to replicate cheap (naïve) factors. But the more
valuable evolution is a consideration of how to build
stronger portfolios for Australian investors that
already have meaningful style biases. To help future
proof portfolios by improving the accuracy of intended
portfolio risk, investors should consider using a style
neutral option, particularly for global equities, to
offset the likelihood that they are already invested in
heavily style biased portfolios.
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Ian Paczek, PhD, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager &
Executive Director, UBS Asset Management (London) |
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Investing (Equities -
Australian)
Good
governance is a strong amplifier of small cap
performance
Many of Australia’s small companies are our
potential future leaders. The ASX 300 provides active
investors a universe that increases the ability to
deliver long-term alpha and greater diversification,
helping to maximise potential long term returns. A sharp
focus on corporate governance can assist investors in
identifying those high quality, sustainable businesses
that can last the distance thereby ‘future proofing’ a
portfolio. Best practice in corporate governance can
deliver better returns in the medium to long term for
investors when harnessed with the potential growth of
good quality Australian Small Cap companies.
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Michelle Lopez, CFA, Senior Investment Manager,
Aberdeen Standard Investments (Sydney) |
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Room 3 |
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Investing (Equities -
Global)
Capturing future earnings upgrades leads to
outperformance
Research shows that when companies deliver
earnings which are underappreciated by investors, they
outperform. To exploit this, objectively obtained data
on earnings surprises, as well as quality and valuation,
can be analysed to build a future-proofed portfolio.
Avoiding value traps and, at the other end of the
earnings cycle, growth traps, are critical success
factors. Businesses adapting successfully to disruption
exist across all industries and can be identified
irrespective of prevailing market conditions. Finding
those with improving earnings outlooks can deliver a
future proofed portfolio.
-
Nikki Thomas, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Alphinity
Investment Management (Sydney) |
|
|
Philosophy | Strategies
(Debt - Australian)
Impact
investing is the way of the future for fixed income
Impact bonds are issued by companies, agencies or
governments with the explicit intention to generate
meaningful and measurable positive social and/or
environmental outcomes, alongside a mainstream financial
return. The impact investment market is growing -
driven, in part, by investors’ desire to also understand
the non-financial outcomes of their investments. In
addition, there is growing evidence that investing for
return while generating a positive impact is a holistic
way for investment professionals to create portfolios
that are fit for the future.
-
Stephen Fitzgerald, Managing Partner & Co-Founder,
Affirmative Investment Management (London) |
|
Room 4 |
|
|
Markets | Investing (Equities - Global)
A
borderless approach delivers better EM investment
outcomes
Emerging markets have often been considered a
tactical investment opportunity and typically treated as
a homogeneous group. However, the investment opportunity
in EM is greater than just the companies domiciled
there. There are real opportunities to be found in
multinational corporations – including those with
significant revenue in EM, but domiciled elsewhere (like
Nestlé). In essence, investing in global growth should
not simply be defined or determined by where a company
receives its mail. The distinction between EM/DM is no
longer relevant, and a borderless approach with a blend
of EM/DM economies produces a better investment outcome.
-
Andy Budden, Investment Director, Capital Group
(Singapore) |
|
|
Investing (Debt - Global)
ABS are
now more "Moneyball" than "Big Short"
Asset Backed Securities (ABS) are still feared
and arguably misunderstood for their role in the Global
Financial Crisis. In fact, global ABS were directly
tested and survived the challenges of 2008. Moreover, a
combination of legislative, industry and structural
changes since the GFC have strengthened the overall
investment thesis. Paradoxically, ABS provide wider
credit spreads over comparatively rated investment grade
corporate debt and may in fact may be more defensive
than government bonds and equities in a bear market for
rates. In today’s rising rate environment, global ABS,
which are inherently floating, are now well placed to
help "future-proof" portfolios.
-
Richard Quin, CEO & Lead Portfolio Manager, Bentham
Asset Management (Sydney) |
|
12.40pm-1.25pm:
Lunch break |
|
1.25pm-2.35pm: Special
Interests Forum 3 |
|
Room 1
|
|
|
Strategies (Multi-Asset)
Bin the
crystal ball - focus on value, trend & diversification
You don’t have to forecast the future to future
proof a portfolio. While market strategists have been
shown to do no better than a coin toss, a robust
approach to asset allocation focusing on factors that do
have predictive power – valuations and trend – can
create a portfolio that is robust to changing markets.
In addition, diversification is the only free lunch in
investing, which has fuelled great interest in
alternatives, but hedge funds and many unlisted assets
just repackage risks a portfolio is already exposed to,
and effective diversification relies on access to
genuinely skill-based strategies at sensible prices.
-
Michael Blayney, Head of Multi-Asset, Pendal Group
(Sydney) |
|
|
Philosophy | Investing (Equities
- Global)
ESG
integration is mission critical
ESG integration and materiality will stand the
test of time and help us all to build robust and
resilient portfolios for the future prosperity of our
clients. Future proofing portfolios means ensuring those
building portfolios develop a deep understanding of why
something matters. Materiality allows the prioritisation
and focus on the issues that will ultimately deliver
long-term value. As disruption transforms global
economies and markets become ever more efficient,
effectively integrating material ESG factors is mission
critical to successfully identifying the companies that
can sustainably add value through market cycles.
-
Michael Cantara, CFA, Senior Managing Director -
Global Client Group, MFS Investment Management (Boston) |
|
Room 2 |
|
|
Strategies (Equities - Global)
Factor
investing increases your probability of success
Investors are adopting investment strategies
based on asset pricing anomalies documented in the
academic literature, otherwise known as Factor
Investing. However, not all factor investing strategies
are created equal. Those looking to embrace factor
investing need to understand some core principles of
factor investing strategies such as: avoiding unrewarded
risks; combining factors efficiently; and, factor index
arbitrage. This will then create a future-proof
portfolio for the new world, more reliable alpha, lower
volatility, all while lowering portfolio costs.
-
Frank Wirds, CFA, Client Portfolio Manager, Robeco
(Hong Kong)
Prep!
-
Academic Knowledge Dissemination in the Mutual Fund Industry |
|
|
Markets | Strategies (Equities - Australian)
Valuation mistakes will prove very costly in a post QE
world
Future proofing portfolios is a difficult task –
partly due to today’s demanding valuations and partly
because the future is intrinsically unknowable. Yet as
valuations become stretched across the spectrum of asset
classes, the efficacy of monetary policy diminishes and
a record number of Australians are nearing or entering
retirement, the stakes have risen. Investors need to
search as broadly as possible for assets priced to
deliver reasonable returns, carefully weight today’s
yield against long horizon return requirements and
perhaps most importantly guard against sequencing and
drawdown risks. There are no “set-and-forget” strategies
in a world of ever-changing prices.
-
Philipp Hofflin,
PhD, Portfolio Manager/Analyst, Lazard Asset Management (Sydney) |
|
Room 3 |
|
|
Strategies (Multi-asset)
All
active? All passive? And/or gives better portfolio
outcomes
Imagine a world with only two fund options: a
passively managed fund and an actively managed fund with
similar levels of volatility. Passive funds offer
low-cost benchmark tracking, leading to a tight range of
relative returns. Active funds offer the potential for
outperformance in exchange for a wider range of relative
returns. The decision to use active, passive, or a
combination of both investment types in a portfolio is
too often framed as an either-or debate. Both active and
passive investments have the potential to help
future-proof portfolios, providing they anchor on low
cost and patience.
-
Daniel Reyes, CFA, Principal - Investment
Management Group, Vanguard Investments (Melbourne) |
|
|
Markets |
Strategies (Equities - Global)
Future
proofed portfolios need growth equities
Growth investing is essential to future proof a
portfolio. If investing in equities and following the
index then by definition, an investor is investing in
growth. However, investors should learn the lessons of
history. When powerful structural changes occur, it
creates very divergent paths for different companies
(even in the same industry). Structural growth companies
can easily grow into their higher near-term valuations,
while stocks trading a ‘cheap PEs’ but on the wrong side
of structural change are seldom protected by their
valuation. Looking beyond near-term valuation multiples
can help identify the next great winners and also help
avoid the losers. Without growth investing, a portfolio
is only focusing on only one side of the equation.
-
Nick Griffin, Founding Partner & Chief Investment
Officer, Munro Partners (Melbourne) |
|
2.35pm-3.10pm:
Afternoon break |
|
3.10pm-3.45pm: Critical
Issues Forum 13 |
|
|
Markets (Geopolotics)
China
will be a high-tech global power within two decades
The
People's Republic of China (PRC) invests heavily in high
technology research. It is set to become a global power
within two decades in numerous spheres including
nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, space
exploration, and medical research. The world will
certainly benefit from the PRC's technological ambition.
For example, PRC scientists are expected to find long
sought-after cures to deadly diseases. However, PRC
technological prowess also has challenging implications,
starting with PRC ability to steal technology and
conduct cyber attacks as well as the development of
forms of social control which are contrary to democratic
norms.
-
Linda Jakobson, Founding Director & Chief Executive
Officer, China Matters (Sydney) |
|
3.45pm-5.00pm: Critical
Issues Forum 14 |
|
|
Markets (Geopolitics)
Cyber
conflict is a threat (to future-proof portfolios)
"There are two kinds of big companies in the US.
There are those who've been hacked by the Chinese and
those who don't know they've been hacked by the
Chinese."
- James Comey, then FBI Director, October 2014
In the cyber world today, we are somewhere around World
War I. A decade ago, there were three or four nations
with effective cyber forces. Now there are more than 30.
There are the “Seven Sisters” of cyber conflict - the
US, Russia, China, Britain, Iran, Israel and North Korea
- although nations from Vietnam to Mexico are getting
involved. Many have started at home by testing their
cyber capabilities against dissidents and political
challengers. But no modern military can live without
cyber capabilities, just as no nation could imagine,
after 1918, living without airpower. And now, as then,
it is impossible to imagine fully how dramatically this
invention will alter the exercise of national power.
-
David Sanger, National Security Correspondent, The
New York Times, (Washington DC)
Prep!
-
Hack
attack - hunting China's cyber warriors
-
The age
of cyberwar is here |
|
|
Followed by
a panel:
-
David Sanger, National Security Correspondent, The
New York Times, (Washington DC)
-
Linda Jakobson, Founding Director & Chief Executive
Officer, China Matters (Sydney)
-
Tom Switzer, Executive Director, The Centre for Independent
Studies (Sydney) |
|
5.00pm-6.00pm:
Networking Drinks |
|
6.00pm: Strategies Conference
2018 ends |
Strategies Conference
2018 closing credits
|