I've been thinking about...
asset allocation in
the new reality
Category
Strategies
Summary
This Critical Issues Forum from PortfolioConstruction Conference 2009
argued that the post Global Financial Crisis reality
requires that we approach asset allocation with a
clean sheet of paper. * Are we trying to achieve performance or
preservation of capital? In the new reality, preservation of capital will probably provide performance but
not vice versa. * In the old reality, volatility was low,
capital readily available, and inflation suppressed - we focused on certain risks but not others. In the new
reality, we have to contend with new (actually very old) risks. * In the old reality, the yield curve was
flat so you needed structured products, black boxes, hedge funds, and leverage. But in the new reality,
we're faced with a steepening yield curve, you want to deleverage, de-equity - plain
vanilla is good. * Finally, in the old reality, country risk
disappeared. But in the new reality, the path to riches is through understanding country and sector opportunities.