Forum Fodder | Friday 03 July 2020
"It seems to me pretty clear that we're now in 'Cold War Two'."
- Niall Ferguson, Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University (BBC interview, 30 June 2020)
All the best for another week's continuing education! - Graham
P.S. Strategies Conference 2020 "All things considered... it's a whole new world".
We are looking forward to presenting Strategies Conference 2020 as a unique, live face-to-face and live online "hybrid" program, including at our Carriageworks campus. Mark your diary! 30 Sep to 01 Oct 2020.

LATEST ON-DEMAND CE...

Markets
Priorities for the Covid-19 economy
Early in the Covid-19 crisis, most people anticipated a quick V-shaped recovery, on the assumption that the economy merely needed a short timeout. It was an appealing idea. But now it is July, and a V-shaped recovery is probably a fantasy.
Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University | More

Strategies
The big picture of longevity planning
During accumulation, the concept of portfolio longevity is quite meaningless. Eventually, peak-wealth is achieved and withdrawals exceed investment gains. Managing portfolio longevity becomes critical.
Moshe Milevsky | 0.50 CE | More

Philosophy  | Finology
All things considered… we don’t know what we don’t know
We make automatic assumptions on a daily basis. A critical assumption is that our pre-crisis investment management toolkit will remain relevant in the future.
Joe Fernandes, GQF Group | More

Finology
Research Review: The endowment effect
The endowment effect is the tendency for people who own a good to value it more than people who do not. Its economic impact is consequential. Two recent papers offer important and very useful insights for investment professionals.
Rob Hamshar, Portfolio Construction Forum | 1.00 CE | More

Markets | Strategies | Editor's Pick!
You are a factor investor
Whether they realise it or not, investors use factors every time they make an asset allocation decision. Combining multiple factors can help investors increase the chances for investment success.
Antonio Picca, Vanguard | 0.50 CE | More

Finology | Invitation to investment advisers
Complimentary survey to benchmark your Client Care & Practice knowledge and skills
FASEA requires that financial advisers continually improve their client care and practice knowledge and skills - doing so makes obvious business sense, as well. Our new Finology Benchmarking Indices (FBI) is the only benchmarking tool for this area of knowledge and skill - and it's complimentary to our investment adviser members while we continue to develop the service.
Take the Finology Benchmarking Indices survey

UPCOMING FACE-TO-FACE CE...

Strategies
Strategies Conference 2020 "All things considered... it's a whole new world"
We are looking forward to presenting Strategies Conference 2020 as a unique, live face-to-face and live online "hybrid" program, including at our Carriageworks campus. Mark your diary! 30 Sep to 01 Oct 2020.
Meanwhile "attend" Strategies Conference 2019 "20/20 vision" on-demand

UPCOMING CERTIFICATION...

Certified Investment Management Analyst^® (CIMA^®)
Are you involved in any aspect of constructing multi-manager portfolios?
CIMA certification is the peak, international technical portfolio construction certification program designed for investment management analysts – that is, those involved in any aspect of constructing multi-manager portfolios, whether practitioner or advocate. Stand For More - more knowledge, skill and expertise - with CIMA certification.
Last chance to enrol for this intake! Closes today

RECENT ON-DEMAND CE...

Markets
The Covid-19 shock to the dollar
I foresee a 35% drop in the broad dollar index over the next two to three years. Covid-19 may have spread from China, but the Covid currency shock looks like it will be made in America.
Stephen Roach, Yale University | More

Markets
Post-pandemic economic leadership begins in America
No matter how big an economy, it is likely to be influenced by US economic growth, international financial stability, and monetary policy spillovers. The challenge for other countries now is to reduce America's "execution risk".
Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz | More

Markets | Strategies
Should we be worried about inflation?
The impact of Covid-19 and the resulting massive worldwide government fiscal response to the crisis has sparked new discussion about the risk of an upsurge in inflation - or deflation. This is not a trivial debate.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly’s Investment Strategy | More

Markets | Editor's Pick!
We will have to choose between the US and China in the 2020s
In the increasingly intense strategic and economic competition between Washington and Beijing, it's naive to think Australia can just sit on the sidelines.
Expert Panel | 0.75 CE | More

Markets | Strategies | Editor's Pick!
Value investing will triumph over growth in the 2020s
The decade since the GFC has been a challenging period for value style equity investing. Not surprisingly, investors are questioning the value of value investing.
Expert Panel | 1.00 CE | More

Markets
Deglobalisation will hurt growth everywhere
The risk today of a debilitating 1930s-style overshoot in deglobalisation is massive, particularly if the US-China relationship continues to fray. And it is folly to think a retreat from globalisation will not introduce more, vastly more serious, problems.
Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard University | More

Markets | Strategies | Editor's Pick!
The race of our lives revisited (in a nutshell)
Climate change has moved faster than most thought possible. There will be exciting investment opportunities in companies focused on climate change mitigation and adaptation.
Jeremy Grantham, GMO | 1.00 CE | More

Strategies | Investing
Research Review: More about momentum
Despite difficult times in recent years, momentum has been the factor that has generated the highest returns over the past 50 years. Three new papers on the topic take us into largely new territory and improve our understanding on how markets operate.
Ron Bird, Investment Management Research Program | 1.00 CE | More

Philosophy | Markets | Finology | Editor's Pick!
Economics has come full circle
Classical economists often incorporated human behaviour into their thinking. But in the 1960s and 1970s, homo economicus - the great rational agent of economic theory - was born. It was not until the 1990s that the link between human behaviour and economics began to be re-established.
Herman Brodie, Prospecta | More

Finology
Research Review: Confirmation bias
The line between "error" and "reasonable human functioning" is remarkably vague. This Research Review focuses on a widely-cited paper that thoroughly unpacks the various concepts under the umbrella of confirmation bias.
Rob Hamshar, Portfolio Construction Forum | 1.00 CE | More

PLUS MORE ON-DEMAND CE...

Forum CE Library - over 540 CE/CPD hours
Complimentary for all Forum members, the Forum's online on-demand CE Library offers over 540 CE/CPD hours of accredited learning resources, to help members meet the CE/CPD requirements of 16 governing bodies (regulators, associations, and institutes) - including ASIC, APRA, FASEA, FMA, AFA, FPA and CIMA^® CE/CPD requirements, to name a few.
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Forum CIMA CE Library - over 75 CE hours
This subset of the full Forum CE Library features just those learning resources that are accredited for CIMA CE hours, so CIMA certificants can more easily find learning resources to meet their recertification obligation (at the same time as meeting the CE/CPD requirements of other governing bodies e.g. ASIC, APRA, FASEA, FMA, etc). 
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