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 Friday 25 October 2013

G'day

While it might not always have been the case, these days, the macro matters!  As Tim Farrelly writes, central banks have become the dominant influence on markets. New columnist, Yale University's Stephen Roach, busts the myth that the US can remain the world's default currency, noting America's recent fiscal follies may well be the tipping point for a seismic shift in China's open-ended buying of Treasuries. Louis-Vincent Gave argues that there are signs everywhere of the growing role of the renminbi - and that's just one of four threats to gold prices making it a dead-weight on portfolios.

Sonal Desai argues it is extremely important to distinguish between sources of negative bond returns. And, we publish a controversial paper "Why DFA's new research is flawed" which has provoked such a storm of positive and negative response.
All the best for some great weekend learning - Graham
P.S. Mark your diary!  2014 Markets Summit (18-19 February, 2014)

"The US dodged another bullet with a last-minute deal on the debt ceiling. But the fuse on America's debt bomb is getting shorter and shorter." - Stephen Roach (China's wake-up call from Washington)

Perspectives - latest

Central banks calling the shots
Central banks are likely to dominate investment news for years to come. Most of it will be noise. However, some of it will be critically important.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly's | 
Opinion

Why DFA's new research is flawed
This recent article, and DFA's subsequent silence about it, has prompted a storm of response both for and against. Agree or not, it contributes to our understanding of the "science" of portfolio construction.
Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 
Research

China’s wake-up call from Washington
The US debt ceiling debacle sent a clear message to its largest foreign creditor, China - the US may now have to pay a much steeper price for external capital.
Stephen Roach, Yale University
Opinion

Gold - the lead in too many portfolios
Gold's continuing disappointing performance has been a topic of discussion within our walls - and most of us come down on the side of one of four possible explanations.
Louis-Vincent Gave, Gavekal | 
Opinion

The nature of negative returns
Recorded exclusively for PortfolioConstruction Forum, Sonal Desai argues that it is extremely important to distinguish between sources of negative bond returns.
Sonal Desai, Franklin Templeton Investments | 
Opinion

Perspectives - recently

Dead cat bounce - the failure of macroeconomics
What makes this cycle so different? Five reasons - two are quite conventional, three are not. With proper economic policies, good times could lie ahead for the West.
Dr Woody Brock, SED | 
Opinion

Should equity exposure really decrease in retirement?
Conventional wisdom is that retirees should reduce their equity exposure in retirement as their time horizon shortens - in reality, the ideal may actually be the exact opposite.
Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group | 
Opinion

How do you run out of money when you are printing it?
The US debt debate will be navigated, but with no real solution - the ingredients are being put in place for higher bond yields. The only questions are when, and how high.
John Abernethy, Clime | 
Opinion

Undiscovered Fund: Low correlation Australian equity
An Australian equities fund offering significant diversification benefits when blended with other Australian Equity funds, and downside market protection.
Zenith Investment Partners
Research

A multi-speed world
Recorded exclusively for PortfolioConstruction Forum, PIMCO's Mohammed El-Erian discusses QE, and whether Australia can continue to escape the new normal.
Mohamed El-Erian, PIMCO | 
Opinion

 

 

 

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