Data, models, and pre-mortem scenarios can help manage VUCA

Libby Cantrill and Rob Mead  |  PIMCO  |  18 February 2020  |  0.25 CE

As an investor, you need to become accustomed to the fact that the VUCA issues are going to increasingly drive market outcomes. While there is no use pretending to know what 2020 will bring, educated, bottom-up portfolio processes can identify baseline views and the skew of risks around that baseline. Mapping out different scenarios with the help of data, models, and pre-mortems is a must to check your biases, as well as challenge your own, others’ and consensus views, and generate investment ideas that will help manage VUCA and target the right opportunit...

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