On 3 November, US voters go to the polls to decide whether or not Donald Trump will have another four years in the White House. Vice President Biden has been leading President Trump in most national polls since the start of 2020 – and while national polls are a good guide as to how popular a candidate is, what matters in the US presidential elections is not how many votes you win across the country, but where you win them. The presidency will be determined once again by 14 swing states and six of them really matter.

 
Presentation  (30 mins)  |  Slides

 
Podcast   (30 mins)