There is more inflation complexity ahead
Mohamed El-Erian | Allianz | 10 February 2023
Nearly two years into the current bout of inflation, the concept of “transitory inflation” is making a comeback as the Covid-related supply shocks dissipate. This comes at a time when it is critically important to keep an open mind about the trajectory of inflation, including by avoiding an over-simplified transitory narrative that risks obfuscating the real issues facing the US economy.
“Transitory” is a comforting notion suggesting a short-lived, reversible phenomenon. Critically, the concept assumes away the need to adjust behaviours. After all, if an inflation scare is only temporary, the ...