This time is different because every time is different

Ronald Temple  |  Lazard  |  21 February 2024  |  0.50 CE

There’s much to learn from history, but every time is different when it comes to markets. Inflation in the 2020s has been very unlike that of the 1970s. The inevitable recession that did not occur was likely prevented by unprecedented fiscal stimulus. Going forward, short-term interest rates will likely fall, but long-term rates might rise. Equities are unlikely to revisit the frothy heights of 2021 and market breadth should widen. As cyclical inflation subsides, structural price pressures driven by reglobalisation and the energy transition will collide with the deflationar...

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