The return of wage growth across the industralised world has significant implications for markets and central bank policy - and spells the end of the 30-year rally in bonds.

Tim Toohey

While some still firmly believe that values and ethics have no part to play in investing, the tide is turning. Values play a vital role in investment and business decisions - and, increasingly, investors care about more than just financial returns.

Clare Payne, Charles Sampford, Jack Gray, | 1.00 CE

Human beings are subject to behavioural biases, which negatively affect their ability to make rational choices. These behavioural biases create market inefficiencies that active investment managers can exploit to generate alpha.

Stuart Rae

Stock markets are thriving in a "Goldilocks" environment. But there is a growing risk of the US economy over-heating. Investors should keep a close eye on inflation and wages data.

Brett Gillespie

Many investors claim to follow a contrarian style. But it is important to distinguish between those who unthinkingly dismiss orthodox approaches, and those who meaningfully challenge them.

Stephen Anness

As inflation re-emerges and central banks wind down their QE programs, yields will rise substantially. The key is not to lose money while medium-term ideas play out.

Brett Gillespie

Portfolio construction practitioners should prepare for an environment which is less favourable for their equity and long bond exposures.

Brett Gillespie

The impact investing market will be worth US$1 trillion in coming decades. It is important for practitioners to realise the impact that their client's capital can have on society.

Richard Brandweiner, Giles Gunesekera & Tim Macready | 0.50 CE

While some still firmly believe that ethics has nothing to do with investment, the tide is turning. Increasingly, clients are demanding ethical portfolios.

Clare Payne | 0.25 CE

To outperform the market you have to invest in something different. Investment returns are best captured through the exploitation of anomalies – the truly different mispriced opportunities.

Paul Moore | 0.50 CE

In the US, institutional investors have a significant impact on future stock performance. Extending this research globally shows that ownership signals can supplement a traditional factor model and improve long/short performance.

Jason Liu | 0.25 CE

With higher returns than term deposits, and less risk than hybrids and equities, corporate loans add up to an attractive alternative in a potentially rising interest rates environment.

Andrew Lockhart | 0.25 CE

For a portfolio’s position to add up robustly, it must reflect future risks and respond to how these change through time.

Susan Gosling | 0.50 CE

Investment managers around the world believe their style is the holy grail of generating returns ahead of the market. But you can’t beat the market using a simple rules-based strategy.

Blake Henricks | 0.25 CE

China's digital economy will soon surpass that of the US. MSCI A Share inclusion in 2018 will allow foreign investors to participate in China's fast growing e-commerce sector.

Mansfield Mok | 0.25 CE

Investment in a well diversified and risk controlled mix of Risk Premium strategies is essential to building a robust portfolio through good times and bad.

Philip Seager | 0.50 CE

Xi Jinping would like to oversee China’s rise to regional dominance - but the US, Japan and India will not allow China alone to dominate the region.

Linda Jakobson | 0.25 CE

Constructing portfolios that capture the upside while limiting the downside is more important than ever. Derivatives can help multi-asset investors in three key ways.

David Jubb | 0.50 CE

With over 160 ETFs trading on the ASX, selecting the right ETF has become far more challenging. A simple yet effective due diligence framework is needed to assess suitability.

Jonathan Howie | 0.50 CE

An active portfolio of high-quality Australian companies paying sustainable dividends is part of the solution to protect living standards against income shocks and inflation.

Reece Birtles | 0.50 CE

Emerging markets infrastructure plays a powerful role in a portfolio. However many investors make assumptions around the risk of these markets and ignore them to their detriment.

Charles Hamieh | 0.50 CE

Introducing an active global credit investment into portfolios adds to an investor's opportunity set, and can offer alpha opportunities.

Samantha Lamb | 0.25 CE

Managing carbon risk within portfolios is increasingly a decision integral to risk management and the pursuit of superior long-term risk-adjusted returns.

Domenico Giuliano | 0.50 CE

Six key factors differentiate exceptional companies from their peers. These all add up to a business that generates exceptional returns for extended periods of time.

Kate Howitt | 0.25 CE

Portfolio construction must stay relevant. While traditional country and sector allocations may have worked in the past, today's new environment requires a global and flexible approach.

Andy Budden | 0.50 CE

There are many risks and uncertainties as retired clients face the next 20 to 40 years. The uncertainty related to the period of retirement can be allowed for, to enable retirees to have a higher living standard during their retirement years.

David Knox & Nick White | 0.50 CE

Managers must both develop and implement an investment process - but we seem to be determined to deny them recognition for the former and to judge their performance on the latter.

Ron Bird | 0.50 CE

Time-based rebalancing is inefficient. Research suggests that tolerance band rebalancing strategies minimise trading and boost portfolio returns. Such threshold approaches may be used in both the portfolio accumulation and decumulation phase, and act as a pre-commitment device for clients.

Michael Kitces | 1.00 CE

Public policy matters to performance at every level. Yet modern politics faces a crisis of ideas, relevance and trust. The trick is to let markets do their work.

Ruth Richardson | 0.50 CE

Culture is at the heart of competitive advantage today - this is particularly the case for investment firms where people and their judgments are the chief assets.

Carol Geremia | 0.25 CE

In a world where 0.6%pa is top quartile, winning is difficult and losing is easy. There are big gains to be made in surprising places. Even 1%pa adds up to a huge difference over time.

Tim Farrelly | 0.50 CE

Advisers are increasingly eschewing active managed fund managers, and instead are supplanting themselves as tactical managers of "passive" ETF funds.

Michael Kitces | 1.00 CE

When it comes to investing across the capital structure, it all adds up, but debt and equity’s relative contributions to returns shift markedly through time.

Jason Thomas | 0.25 CE

The number of publicly listed companies in the US has roughly halved since 1996, a phenomenon which spans other regions. The trend is likely to persist, and it has significant implications for investors.

Brian J. Buenneke & Alex Wilmerding | 0.25 CE

Ensuring your investment process has the flexibility to incorporate sustainability factors all adds up to improved longer term portfolio performance outcomes.

Amanda McCluskey | 0.50 CE

Building genuinely diversified portfolios, where every investment represents an active decision, makes for a champion team of investments.

Michael O'Dea | 0.50 CE

Investing is simply deploying savings to generate returns, yet abstractions such as indices are creating unnecessary complexity. Nowhere in an effective investment process need there be any reference to the prospects for a market index.

Andrew Clifford | 0.50 CE

Loss avoidance and simplicity are highly attractive to the human mind. However, uncertainty is often the source of superior returns and creativity can be a key source of alpha, delivering idiosyncratic outcomes.

William Low | 0.50 CE

In a developed world full of challenges, a consistently applied process that focuses on both the cyclical and secular outlook is something that every investor can apply.

Tony Crescenzi | 0.50 CE

Investors need to employ a rigorous and consistent valuation methodology, seek to minimise forecast error bounds and disregard traditional cap weighted benchmarks.

Warryn Robertson | 0.50 CE

Janet Yellen says another crisis is not likely, yet signs of stress are growing and valuations are stretched. Investors need a strategy for weathering a storm, whether or not there is one on the horizon.

Robert Gay | 1.00 CE

There is a growing body of evidence suggesting that chronological (C) age is dominated by biological (B) age as a better proxy for longevity risk. Practitioners must consider both ages when building portfolios and structuring retirement spending strategies.

Moshe Milevsky, York University | 1.00 CE

People often consider risks in isolation, and overpay for protection as a result. Rather than hedging against specific risks, investors should think like a game theorist.

Shachar Kariv, University of California, Berkeley

Portfolio construction practitioners have traditionally split into two camps - passive indexers, or active investors aiming to either pick winning companies or fund managers who can identify such companies. In this Critical Issues Forum session at the 2011 Conference, US-based researcher Michael Kitces provided a new and robust framework to understand the opportunities for value creation in portfolios...

Michael Kitces

Game theory, econometrics and distributed computing power can reveal a client's true preferences for risk, loss, uncertainty, time and goals – with scientific precision and in terms that clients can understand.

Shachar Kariv, University of California, Berkeley | 0.50 CE

Factor indices are a smart way to capture equity market beta. However, investors use factors in pursuit of broader aims.

Gideon Smith, AXA IM Rosenberg Equities

Fund flows suggest that, in aggregate, passive managers are winning the battle against their active peers. But active bond managers have a demonstrable track record of outperformance.

Emmanuel Roman, PIMCO

With US unemployment at a 15-year low, the US Federal Reserve has greater scope to begin shrinking its balance sheet. Investors should set aside their fears, and remember that the Fed’s balance sheet provides little indication about what will happen to longer term interest rates.

Payden & Rygel

This Due Diligence Forum Research Paper, presented at the 2011 PortfolioConstruction Forum Conference, proposes an asset allocation approach that makes more complete use of information available about the future, forcing consideration of different time frames, alternate outcomes, and tail risk...

Susan Gosling

Observing how a client makes financial trade-offs can provide a more accurate measure of their risk preferences than if we ask questions about what they think they would do.

Shachar Kariv, University of California, Berkeley | 1.00 CE

In a low growth, low inflation, low interest rate and low yield environment, a cyclical economic upturn presents opportunities in asset classes such as equities and real estate

Andrew Milligan, Standard Life Investments

Clients benefit from understanding the investment journey. Having prepared responses to scenarios improves the chance of success.

Douglas Isles | 0.25 CE

Investors should keep a close eye on relative valuations. Recent data suggests that momentum and value are trading cheaply in many markets, with low beta substantially over-priced.

Rob Arnott, Research Affiliates

The danger that sequence of return risk can devastate a retirement portfolio is both increasingly recognised and frequently misunderstood. Three research-driven strategies can help manage it.

Michael Kitces | 1.00 CE

Trump's election triggered a global stock market upswing, on confidence that he would be able to fulfill his pledge to reignite US economic growth. But how much is Trump really likely to be able to get done?

Libby Cantrill, PIMCO

Can clients easily change their behaviour? The theory of planned behaviour can help to promote real change and convert intentions into outcomes.

Joanne Earl | 1.00 CE

Short-term thinking in finance is nothing new. The benefits of long-term investing extend beyond just being able to invest in illiquid assets. Patience can pay its own dividend.

Keith Suter, Geoff Warren, Ian Patrick | 1.00 CE

As Britain embarks on the process of disentangling itself from the EU, the country will regain control over national law and policy making, raising opportunities to implement new models.

Peter Lilley, MP

It is time to properly account for risk characteristics of client’s most valuable asset - their human capital. This isn’t easy to implement and places practitioners in a difficult situation...

Moshe Milevsky, York University | 1.00 CE

Requiring investment managers to perform relative to a benchmark, including imposing tracking error constraints, causes short-term'ism.

Prof Ron Bird & Olivia Engel, CFA | 1.00 CE

Contrary to popular belief, western living standards have not declined in recent decades. Rather, government statistics failed to capture a key element of real GPD growth.

Woody Brock | 1 comment

Jonathan Pain, Author of The Pain Report, is a regular key note presenter at PortfolioConstruction Forum's professional development programs. Over the years, he has debuted new investment theses and challenged delegates about how to build better quality investor portfolios...

Jonathan Pain

Markets Summit 2017 featured a stellar lineup of international and local experts offering their best high conviction idea/thesis on the opportunities and risks ahead as the winds of change sweep through economies and asset classes - and the implications for portfolios.

Finology Summit 2017 featured a stellar lineup of finology experts offering their best high conviction idea/thesis on how the winds of change are impacting how investors think and behave with respect to money, and how we can better relate with them (and help others who must do so).

The key to influencing investors is to have the right mindset, build the right skillset and apply the right toolset.

Troy Hendrickson, Duke CE | 0.50 CE

A formal, written spending policy can help investors focus on what's really important - will they meet their goals?

Tim Farrelly | 0.25 CE

This workshop will help you develop a clear, communicable, logical and understandable investment philosophy, deciding what's important and what's not.

Graham Rich, PortfolioConstruction Forum and Tim Farrelly, farrelly's | 1.00 CE

Clients benefit from understanding the investment journey. Having prepared responses to scenarios improves the chance of success.

Douglas Isles | 2 comments | 0.25 CE

Our panel discusses the steady stream of disruption around the delivery of financial advice.

Panel | 0.25 CE

The key trait for relating to investors in the future will be the one skill that our brains are not programmed to receive from a computer - empathy.

Michael Kitces | 0.50 CE

Can clients easily change their behaviour? The theory of planned behaviour can help to promote real change and convert intentions into outcomes.

Joanne Earl | 1.00 CE

Strong winds of change are blowing - we appear to be entering a new age of populist and economic nationalism. What does it all mean for the outlook for the markets?

Graham Rich, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 0.25 CE

Regulatory tailwinds, fee pressure, unbridled experimentation around the delivery of advice - it's a steady stream of disruption. Ironically, technology is both our poison and antidote.

Stig Nybo | 0.50 CE

The tectonic plates of the political and economic landscape are rupturing. Brace yourselves for a wild and entertaining ride...

Jonathan Pain | 1 comment | 0.25 CE

US-China relations under President Donald Trump will be turbulent. This will be testing for an economically interdependent region.

Linda Jakobson | 0.50 CE

Applying discipline, fact and data to the assembly of a portfolio leads to investment opportunities overlooked by many who pursue their 'feelings' rather than data.

Kerr Neilson, Platinum Asset Management | 0.25 CE

Markets have run hard in recent months on speculative exuberance. However, the critical question is will President Trump prove to be a tailwind, or a headwind for the global economy?

Vimal Gor | 0.25 CE

The tectonic plates of the political and economic landscape are rupturing. Brace yourselves for a wild and entertaining ride...

Jonathan Pain | 0.25 CE

Bond-sensitive stocks now form a record 60% of the ASX's market cap. Australian equity investors should hold a greater proportion in real-asset stocks and reduce exposure to artificially inflated financial stocks.

Martin Conlon, Schroders | 4 comments | 0.25 CE

US-China relations under President Donald Trump will be turbulent. This will be testing for an economically interdependent region.

Linda Jakobson | 0.50 CE

As 2017 began, there was (once again) an air of optimism that interest rates are about to return to normal. This optimism dismisses the significant structural headwinds that are prevalent.

Brett Lewthwaite, Macquarie Investment Management | 3 comments | 0.25 CE

When positioning a multi-asset, portfolio for the medium-term, there are four fundamental decisions we must make now. They are, in some cases, interdependent.

Tim Farrelly | 0.25 CE

A-REITs may face headwinds over the next two years, but total returns will likely remain positive, before returning to a more normal level of 8% to 10% per annum.

Damien Barrack, Renaissance Asset Management

Money velocity is accelerating in the US and UK, as commercial banks rediscover their appetite for risk and the two economies continue to normalise. The shift has significant implications for asset allocators.

Chris Watling | 2 comments

There is a significant opportunity for actively managed Australian government bonds to continue to provide positive returns, while protecting against the storms of uncertainty.

Charles Jamieson, Jamieson Coote Bonds | 0.25 CE

A large number of small, high conviction positions will lead to better outcomes for portfolios compared to a small number of large, high conviction positions.

Olivia Engel | 0.25 CE

For the foreseeable future, earnings of the infrastructure assets asset class, if defined in a disciplined manner, should continue to be reliable.

Gerald Stack, Magellan Asset Management | 0.25 CE

The biggest portfolio risk in 2017 will be over confidence in assigning scenario probabilities. Don't confuse the winds of change with "hot air" when it comes to portfolio construction.

Robert Mead, PIMCO | 0.25 CE

Bond investors have enjoyed a multi-decade bull run in yields, fuelled by unsustainable post-GFC stimulus, but "the times they are a-changing".
It's time to rotate into loans!

Jeffrey Reemer, Invesco | 3 comments | 0.25 CE

Investors should focus on asymmetric opportunities with a margin of safety and multiple ways of winning. Developed Asia and Europe offer these in abundance.

Jacob Mitchell | 0.25 CE

Partners Group's Charles Dallara, Lazard's Ron Temple, and Magellan's Hamish Douglass debate the winds of change sweeping through the global economy and equity markets.

Panel | 0.25 CE

Investors should question the assumption that inflation and interest rates will be "lower for longer" and instead consider that inflation could be whipped into a storm by trade, monetary and border policy.

Ronald Temple | 4 comments | 0.25 CE

2017 will be a year of two halves: the first - trial and error, volatility and more setbacks than successes for Trump's economic policies; the second - a shift to less confrontation, more cooperation and a win-win for the US and the world.

Charles Dallara, Partners Group | 0.25 CE

With Trump, Brexit, Italy's "No" and China's currency woes, the world economy and markets have embarked on a journey into the unknown. Investors should aim for capital preservation until the veil of uncertainty over future policies starts to lift.

Joachim Fels, PIMCO | 0.25 CE

There is a significant opportunity for actively managed Australian government bonds to continue to provide positive returns, while protecting against the storms of uncertainty.

Charles Jamieson, Jamieson Coote Bonds | 0.50 CE

The biggest portfolio risk in 2017 will be over confidence in assigning scenario probabilities. Don't confuse the winds of change with "hot air" when it comes to portfolio construction.

Robert Mead, PIMCO | 0.25 CE

Governments must find a way to reconcile open markets with more evenly distributed income growth, or globalisation may reverse with dire implications for risk assets.

Jeremy Lawson, Standard Life Investments | 2 comments | 0.50 CE

Investors should question the assumption that inflation and interest rates will be "lower for longer" and instead consider that inflation could be whipped into a storm by trade, monetary and border policy.

Ronald Temple | 0.25 CE

2017 will present many risks and opportunities, as the winds of change sweep through the global economy and markets. Geopolitics will dominate. The only certainty for 2017 is uncertainty.

Stephen Halmarick, Colonial First State Global Asset Management | 3 comments | 0.25 CE

There is no subject of more importance to investors than what Donald J. Trump will do with the powers of the US presidency. There are pluses and minuses of Trumponomics.

Niall Ferguson | 0.50 CE

Strong winds of change are blowing - we appear to be entering a new age of populist and economic nationalism. What does it all mean for the outlook for the markets?

Graham Rich, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 0.25 CE