Forum Fodder

Forum Fodder | Friday 02 June 2023
It is a fair bet that the economic models of the past 30 years are not only failing now but will never work again. Thinking that we are going through a brief period of disruption before experiencing a grateful return to a world of reliable predictability would be the next failure of foresight." - Former UK foreign secretary William Hague (30 May 2023).

All the best for another week’s continuing education!
Graham

Strategies

Strategies Conference 2023 “You can do anything, but not everything!”
AEST Wed-Thu 23-24 August 2023
Strategies Conference will challenge and refresh your portfolio construction thinking by debating contemporary and emerging portfolio construction strategies, to help you build better quality portfolios.
It is said that madness is doing the same thing and expecting a different outcome.
Today, as practitioners continue to navigate the structural shift to an inflationary, higher interest rate investment regime in a volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous world, it stands to reason that portfolio strategies must continue to evolve from what worked in the prior “lower for longer” regime. We must think through which portfolio construction strategies remain fit for purpose, which are no longer appropriate, and which new strategies should be adopted.
But common wisdom warns us against throwing out the baby with the bathwater! Prioritising the most important changes to make to investment objectives, asset allocation, currency management, manager selection and blending, and risk management is key – because you can do anything, but not everything!
Join us in our live studio, a live site or live stream | 12-20 CE | Register now!

Markets

America and China are on a collision course
The G7 countries may have set out to deter China without escalating the new cold war, but the perception in Beijing suggests that they failed.
Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates | Read

Investing | Finology | Philosophy | Rated in the top 10 at Finology Summit 2023

I believe people-centric investors handle uncertainty better
To better develop the skills required to analyse corporates, we can start with individuals as case studies and scale from there. If analysts can’t do that, it’s unlikely they can address more complex situations.
Douglas Isles, Platinum Asset Management | 0.25 CE | Listen, Watch

Finology | Philosophy | Rated in the top 10 at Finology Summit 2023

I believe that having a Plan B is more important than Plan A
We can help retirees build and retain their sense of control by keeping on building trust and educating them, modelling possible outcomes and showing a planned approach – including providing a Plan B.
Richard Dinham, Fidelity International | 0.25 CE | Read, Listen, Watch

Strategies | Markets | Finology | Philosophy Rated in the top 10 at Finology Summit 2023

I believe in a portfolio tailored for the energy transition
The energy transition represents the greatest economic opportunity since the industrial revolution. Reliably capturing the potential and delivering tangible environmental impact requires three core beliefs.
David Costello, Magellan Financial Group | 0.50 CE | Listen, Watch

Strategies | Markets

Actively managed small caps is a core portfolio holding
Active management has consistently delivered outperformance in small companies as the opportunity set allows managers to demonstrate both stock selection and portfolio construction skill.
Andrew Mouchacca, Flinders Investment Partners | 0.25 CE | Listen, Watch

Finology | Philosophy

Behavioural Finance: Investment decision-making short course
Led by behavioural finance expert, Herman Brodie, the Behavioural Finance - Investment Decision-Making course will help you identify, analyse and evaluate the principal human preferences that influence decision-making in situations of uncertainty, so you can recognise and identify these preferences in others, to improve investment decision-making.
Herman Brodie | 8.00 CE | Enrol

Markets

Sell in May and go away?
We should never let rules of thumb override financial fundamentals, but there are times when fundamentals become quite hazy. Recent inflation data suggests that we are in such a period right now.
Jim O’Neill | Read

Markets | Finology | Philosophy | Rated in the top 5 at Finology Summit 2023

I believe behavioural alpha is the most sustainable
Investors today have more knowledge than any prior generation, however there remains a chasm between knowing and doing. Acknowledging we are all biased, because we are all human, is the first step to better decisions.
David Wanis, Longwave Capital | 0.25 CE | Listen, Watch

Strategies | Finology | Philosophy | Rated in the top 5 at Finology Summit 2023

I believe certainty of income leads to confidence
Retirement strategies must adapt in line with markets and demographics trends and the additional risks that are relevant for investors in decumulation.
Mark Lapedus, Allianz Retire+ | 0.50 CE | Listen, Watch

Finology (Ethics)

Active trust building is ethical
Trust is the product of two judgements clients make about us - our competence and our benevolence. So trust could, at least partly, be won without being earned. So is it ethical to try?
Herman Brodie, Prospecta | 0.75 CE | Listen, Watch

Investing | Philosophy

Research Review: Active index investing
The most recent evolution in index investing has been a drift into the active world. Until recently, active passive investing has not been subject to much analysis. The two papers considered here begin to make some inroads.
Ron Bird, Australian National University & Portfolio Construction Forum | 2.50 CE | Read

Markets

Winners and Losers in the AI Arms Race
Throughout history, technological change has created both winners and losers. There is no reason why AI, like previous technologies, shouldn’t produce more of the former than the latter.
Barry Eichengreen, University of California | Read

Strategies | Markets

Crockpot: Don’t buy High Yield Debt until it is very, very cheap
Only buy High Yield Debt when it is super cheap? It’s nuts and you can clearly see it’s nuts.
Tim Farrelly, farrelly’s Investment Strategy | Read

Finology | Philosophy | Rated in the top 3 at Finology Summit 2023

I believe our brains can beat uncertainty
Confidence in a sea of confusion is key to success. Using three tools of persuasion, we can create a sense of certainty even when who knows what is just around the corner.
Adam Ferrier, Thinkerbell | 0.50 CE | Listen, Watch

Finology | Philosophy | Rated in the top 10 at Finology Summit 2023

Analysing decisions not results is essential for better alpha
Decision attribution analysis provides a crucial lens on equity manager skill, benefiting asset owners and fund buyers as they select and monitor managers.
Clare Flynn Levy, Essentia Analytics | 0.50 CE | Read, Listen, Watch

Strategies | Markets | Investing | Finology | Philosophy

Research Review: The adaptive markets hypothesis
Despite widespread criticism of the efficient markets hypothesis, development of comparably broad alternatives has been lacking. One promising direction is the adaptive markets hypothesis which seeks apply the concepts and methods of ecology and evolutionary biology to financial market dynamics.
Rob Hamshar, Portfolio Construction Forum | 2.50 CE | Read

Forum CE Library - over 700 CE/CPD hours
Complimentary for all Forum members, the Forum’s online on-demand CE Library offers over 660 CE/CPD hours of accredited learning resources, to help members meet the CE/CPD requirements of 20 governing bodies (regulators, associations, and institutes) including ASIC, APRA, Legislated, FAAA, FMA and CIMA^® CE/CPD requirements, to name just a few.
Earn CE/CPD hours

Forum CIMA CE Library - over 150 CE hours
This subset of our full CE Library features just those learning resources that are accredited for CIMA CE hours, so CIMA certificants can more easily find learning resources to meet their recertification obligation (at the same time as meeting the CE/CPD requirements of other governing bodies e.g. ASIC, APRA, Legislated, FAAA, FMA etc).
Earn CIMA CE hours

Connect with us on LinkedIn
We let my LinkedIn network know as soon as we release new articles on portfolioconstructionforum.edu.au and when registration opens for our face-to-face CE programs. And of course, I’d welcome having an offline direct conversation with you any time.